The Timberwolves are -11.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
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The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.
The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).
The Timberwolves vs Pelicans Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 8-13 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 13-9 against the spread.
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Timberwolves vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
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Timberwolves
Pelicans
Pelicans vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Thursday‘s game with 66.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Pelicans.
Pelicans vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Moneyline in 50 of their last 69 games (+25.54 Units / 19% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 57 of their last 89 games (+19.15 Units / 15% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2H Spread in 51 of their last 84 games (+16.92 Units / 18% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 54 of their last 89 games (+16.75 Units / 16% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.25 Units / 26% ROI)
Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 82 games (+11.70 Units / 13% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 42 games at home (+11.65 Units / 26% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+10.35 Units / 17% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+10.25 Units / 23% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 69% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 8-13 (-6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI).
13-8 against the Moneyline (-1.55 Units / -2.05% ROI)
11-10 against the Over for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
10-11 against the Under for game total points (-2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 13-9 (+3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI).
3-19 against the Moneyline (-13.85 Units / -61.56% ROI)
13-9 against the Over for game total points (+3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI)
9-13 against the Under for game total points (-5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 81 games (-31.10 Units / -32% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 79 games (-24.80 Units / -29% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-19.80 Units / -22% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 59 games (-18.80 Units / -27% ROI)
The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 69 games (-17.30 Units / -22% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 72 games (-28.80 Units / -15% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 96 games (-25.85 Units / -24% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 89 games (-23.70 Units / -23% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 72 games (-20.50 Units / -25% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 40 of their last 93 games (-19.86 Units / -19% ROI)
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Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Timberwolves are 12-7 (.632) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .486
The Timberwolves were 25-8 (.758) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Timberwolves are 8-3 (.727) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539
The Timberwolves were 29-11 (.725) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Pelicans have averaged 32.2 defensive rebounds per game (708 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
The Pelicans have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (74 blocks/22 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Pelicans have allowed a TS% of 56% in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
The Pelicans averaged 5.2 blocks per game (429 blocks/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves are 12-7 (.632) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .486
The Timberwolves were 25-8 (.758) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Timberwolves are 8-3 (.727) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539
The Timberwolves were 29-11 (.725) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 32.2 defensive rebounds per game (708 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
The Pelicans have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (74 blocks/22 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Pelicans have allowed a TS% of 56% in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
The Pelicans averaged 5.2 blocks per game (429 blocks/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves are 12-7 (.632) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .486
The Timberwolves were 25-8 (.758) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Timberwolves are 8-3 (.727) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539
The Timberwolves were 29-11 (.725) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 32.2 defensive rebounds per game (708 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
The Pelicans have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (74 blocks/22 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Pelicans have allowed a TS% of 56% in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
The Pelicans averaged 5.2 blocks per game (429 blocks/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
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