The Nuggets are -10.5 favorites vs. the Kings
Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
Watch the game on ALT | NSCA
The Denver Nuggets visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-102).
The Nuggets vs Kings Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 13-10 against the spread, while the Kings are 8-16 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineDenver Nuggets-10.5 -102O 240.5 -110-500Sacramento Kings +10.5 -118U 240.5 -110375
Kings vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Thursday‘s game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Kings.
Kings vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 away games (+19.55 Units / 28% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 43 of their last 67 games (+16.55 Units / 21% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 48 games (+15.99 Units / 22% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 away games (+15.00 Units / 30% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 96 games (+12.03 Units / 11% ROI)
Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 62 games (+10.60 Units / 15% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 47% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.35 Units / 21% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+6.00 Units / 16% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 13-10 (+2 Units / 7.89% ROI).
17-6 against the Moneyline (-6.25 Units / -7.42% ROI)
15-8 against the Over for game total points (+6.23 Units / 24.65% ROI)
8-15 against the Under for game total points (-8.5 Units / -33.52% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 8-16 (-9.6 Units / -36.36% ROI).
6-18 against the Moneyline (-3.7 Units / -14.18% ROI)
10-14 against the Over for game total points (-5.4 Units / -20.45% ROI)
14-10 against the Under for game total points (+3 Units / 11.36% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 82 games (-28.65 Units / -22% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 15 of their last 48 games (-23.30 Units / -42% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 64 games (-21.25 Units / -19% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 62 games (-20.30 Units / -28% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 48 games (-20.15 Units / -38% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 63 games (-25.65 Units / -27% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 40 of their last 97 games (-24.45 Units / -22% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 78 games (-24.27 Units / -22% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 96 games (-23.70 Units / -22% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 78 games (-21.68 Units / -24% ROI)
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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings allowed 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,190 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2
The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (1,282/3,308) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Kings have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (92 blocks/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Nuggets are 102-57 (.642) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491
The Nuggets were 31-8 (.795) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557
The Nuggets are 71-20 (.780) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .708
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings allowed 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,190 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2
The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (1,282/3,308) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Kings have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (92 blocks/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Nuggets are 102-57 (.642) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491
The Nuggets were 31-8 (.795) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557
The Nuggets are 71-20 (.780) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .708
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings allowed 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,190 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2
The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (1,282/3,308) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Kings have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (92 blocks/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Nuggets are 102-57 (.642) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491
The Nuggets were 31-8 (.795) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557
The Nuggets are 71-20 (.780) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .708
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