Victor Wembanyama is expected to return following a 12-game absence, and that’s perfect timing as Wemby’s San Antonio Spurs take on the Oklahoma City Thunder in Las Vegas with a trip to the NBA Cup Finals on the line.
The Spurs have been playing great basketball as of late, and my Spurs vs Thunder predictions expect the visitors to cover a large spread against the league’s top team.
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Here are my free NBA picks for this NBA Cup semifinal showdown on Saturday, December 13,
Spurs vs Thunder prediction
Spurs vs Thunder best bet: Spurs +9.5 (-105)
The San Antonio Spurs went 9-3 straight up across their last 12 games without Victor Wembanyama, and the superstar’s return will only add to their momentum heading into this matchup with the Oklahoma City Thunder.
While OKC has been even hotter, San Antonio can keep this one close, especially in a neutral environment. The Spurs are 13-10-1 ATS, and the Thunder are just 14-11.
For as good as San Antonio has played without Wemby, his return to the court will surely be appreciated. Even if he faces a minutes restriction, Wembanyama can offer plenty on both ends with limited playing time.
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The Spurs have been too good, and the Thunder have been too average ATS for this line to make sense. OKC is being overvalued here, and even though it should clearly be favored to win, it shouldn’t be given nearly 10 points.
Spurs vs Thunder same-game parlay
Oklahoma City ranks fifth in offensive rating (120.5), and San Antonio ranks sixth (118.6). The Spurs have hit the Over in three straight games and six of their last seven. The Thunder have hit the Over in five of their previous six.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is one of the NBA’s leading scorers at 32.6 points per game. He’s scored at least 30 points in 19 of 24 games and at least 31 in 14 outings.
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Spurs vs Thunder SGP
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 30.5 points
Our “from downtown” SGP: Stars shine brightest
Wemby has recorded a double-double in nine of 12 games this season, and I expect him to record his 10th in tonight’s win-or-go-home matchup.
Spurs vs Thunder SGP
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 30.5 points
Victor Wembanyama to record a double-double
Spurs vs Thunder odds
Spread: Spurs +9.5 (-105) | Thunder -9.5 (-115)
Moneyline: Spurs +350 | Thunder -450
Over/Under: Over 227 | Under 227
Spurs vs Thunder betting trend to know
The San Antonio Spurs have hit the game total Over in 43 of their last 69 games (+14.40 Units / 19% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Thunder.
How to watch Spurs vs Thunder
Location
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Date
Saturday, December 13, 2025
Tip-off
9:00 p.m. ET
TV
Prime Video
Spurs vs Thunder latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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