The New York Knicks (20-8) face the Minnesota Timberwolves (19-10) Tuesday at Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota, with tip-off set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Knicks vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Knicks lead 1-0 with 137-114 home win Nov. 5

The Knicks beat the Miami Heat 132-125 at home Sunday, covering as a 5-point favorite as the Over (231) cashed. G Jalen Brunson poured in a season-high 47 points, hitting 15-of-26 shots and all 11 free throw attempts, with 8 assists, but is out Tuesday. G Mikal Bridges added 24 points while knocking down 6-of-7 from deep. C Karl-Anthony Towns struggled, finishing with just 2 points and 6 rebounds in 29 minutes.

The Timberwolves picked up their fourth win in 5 games Sunday, edging the Milwaukee Bucks 103-100 at home. Minnesota failed to cover as a 7.5-point favorite as the Under (222.5) cashed. G Anthony Edwards had 24 points, 6 assists and 4 rebounds. C Rudy Gobert added 11 points and 18 rebounds, becoming the 45th player in NBA history to reach 10,000 boards.

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Knicks at Timberwolves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:39 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Knicks +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Timberwolves -275 (bet $275 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Knicks +6.5 (-105) | Timberwolves -6.5 (-115)Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)Knicks at Timberwolves key injuries

Knicks

F OG Anunoby (ankle) outG Jalen Brunson (ankle) outG Miles McBride (ankle) outG Landry Shamet (shoulder) outF Guerschon Yabusele (illness) out

Timberwolves

F Joe Ingles (personal) outF Jaden McDaniels (oblique) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Knicks at Timberwolves picks and predictionsPrediction

Timberwolves 116, Knicks 108

PASS.

I like a fresher Timberwolves (-275) to pull away late on Tuesday night, which will take my wager to the spread.

BET TIMBERWOLVES -6.5 (-115).

I’m expecting a pretty tight, entertaining game, but I lean Timberwolves at home. New York brings one of the league’s better defensive profiles, especially in the half court, where it does a good job taking away the rim and forcing tough looks late in the clock. That said, the Knicks are shorthanded and coming off a heavy stretch of games.

Minnesota is playing faster and with more confidence right now. The Timberwolves have been excellent at creating advantages through movement, pushing tempo off turnovers, and attacking mismatches before defenses can get set. That’s where this matchup tilts. If the Wolves can speed things up even a little, it puts stress on a Knicks team that prefers to grind.

With New York likely leaning on Towns, Bridges and G Josh Hart for offense without Brunson, there’s a lot to ask in a tough road spot. Minnesota’s depth and versatility give it more ways to score, especially if Edwards gets downhill and Gobert controls the glass.

I trust the Knicks to keep this close in the first half with defense and rebounding, but I like the Timberwolves to wear them down and cover this spread late.

AVOID.

I don’t love passing on a total, but this one feels like a stay-away. The number has split evenly in the last 10 meetings, and recent trends don’t give much clarity either. New York has gone Over in 6 of its last 10, while Minnesota has leaned Under at the same 6-4 clip. You’ve got a strong defensive team dealing with tired legs, which adds more uncertainty than value. I’ll pass on the total and focus strictly on the spread.

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