The Toronto Raptors (17-13) take on the Miami Heat (15-14) at Kaseya Center on Tuesday. Tip-off from Miami, Florida, is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Raptors vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Toronto leads 1-0
Toronto was handed a 96-81 loss by the Brooklyn Nets on Sunday, failing to cover as a 4-point road favorite with the Under (215.5) hitting. The Raptors shot just 37% from the field and 28% from deep against Brooklyn, also losing the rebounding battle 48-39. The Raptors have been held under 100 points in back-to-back games, both losses.
Miami was beaten 132-125 by the New York Knicks on Sunday, failing to cover as a 5-point road underdog as the Over (231) was smashed. Kel’el Ware led the Heat with 28 points to finish as one of three Heat players with over 20 points, but the Heat could not overcome Jalen Brunson’s 47-piece on the other side. The Heat gave up 20 threes to the Knicks.
The Raptors beat the Heat 106-96 on Dec. 15 while covering as 5-point road underdogs with the Under (233) being hit. Brandon Ingram dropped 28 points while the Heat had no scorer eclipse 20 points in the loss.
Raptors vs. Heat odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:35 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Raptors +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Heat -210 (bet $210 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Raptors +5.5 (-110) | Heat -5.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)Raptors at Heat key injuries
Raptors
G/F RJ Barrett (knee) outC Jakob Poeltl (back) out
Heat
G Tyler Herro (toe) outF Nikola Jovic (elbow) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Raptors at Heat picks and predictionsPrediction
Heat 112, Raptors 107
PASS.
I lean toward the Heat to cover as -210 favorites given how bad Toronto’s offense has been as of late, but with both teams being well below .500 in their last 10 outings, neither is a good bet here. Pass on the moneyline and bet on the spread and/or Over/Under instead.
LEAN RAPTORS +5.5 (-110).
The Raptors have covered the spread in 3 of their last 4 matchups against the Heat overall, including each of the last 2 meetings in Miami. Look for Toronto to find a lot of success in transition off turnovers to narrow the gap between Miami’s offense and its own.
This is a lean because the Raptors are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games.
BET UNDER 228.5 (-105).
Toronto has been held to under 100 points in 4 of its last 7 losses. In their last 10 games, the Raptors have scored over 110 points just 4 times. On the other side, both teams are top 10 in defensive rating, so look for this be a slow and sloppy game where there isn’t much volume scoring on either side.
The Under has hit in 6 of Miami’s last 8 games and is 7-3 in Toronto’s last 10 overall. The Under has also hit in 2 of the last 3 matchups between these squads.
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