The Warriors are -8.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
Watch the game on ABC | ESPN
The Dallas Mavericks visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Mavericks vs Warriors Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 15-16 against the spread, while the Warriors are 14-16 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineDallas Mavericks+8.5 -110O 228.5 -110260Golden State Warriors -8.5 -110U 228.5 -110-325
Warriors vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Thursday‘s game with 77.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Warriors.
Warriors vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 69.2% confidence.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 34 away games (+12.35 Units / 31% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+11.35 Units / 86% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.55 Units / 26% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 71% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+8.85 Units / 64% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+11.80 Units / 17% ROI)
The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.95 Units / 54% ROI)
The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.65 Units / 60% ROI)
The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 97 games (+9.25 Units / 8% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 15-16 (-2.65 Units / -7.76% ROI).
12-19 against the Moneyline (-4.3 Units / -10.26% ROI)
14-17 against the Over for game total points (-4.7 Units / -13.78% ROI)
17-14 against the Under for game total points (+1.6 Units / 4.69% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 14-16 (-3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI).
15-15 against the Moneyline (-9.95 Units / -14.15% ROI)
17-13 against the Over for game total points (+2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI)
13-17 against the Under for game total points (-5.7 Units / -17.27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 97 games (-34.35 Units / -17% ROI)
The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 91 games (-33.30 Units / -22% ROI)
The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 58 games (-30.00 Units / -18% ROI)
The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 35 of their last 91 games (-26.15 Units / -25% ROI)
The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 97 games (-24.20 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 83 games (-21.65 Units / -22% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 86 games (-18.40 Units / -19% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 72 games (-18.05 Units / -22% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 36 of their last 86 games (-17.95 Units / -19% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 86 games (-16.90 Units / -17% ROI)
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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks have averaged 113.6 points per game (3,522 points/31 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.6
The Mavericks have averaged 17.9 fast break points per game (554 points/31 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1
The Mavericks are shooting 32% from three (171/528) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 9.7 steals per game (290 steals/30 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5
The Warriors have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (6,937 rebounds/194 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks have averaged 113.6 points per game (3,522 points/31 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.6
The Mavericks have averaged 17.9 fast break points per game (554 points/31 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1
The Mavericks are shooting 32% from three (171/528) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 9.7 steals per game (290 steals/30 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5
The Warriors have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (6,937 rebounds/194 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks have averaged 113.6 points per game (3,522 points/31 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.6
The Mavericks have averaged 17.9 fast break points per game (554 points/31 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1
The Mavericks are shooting 32% from three (171/528) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 9.7 steals per game (290 steals/30 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5
The Warriors have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (6,937 rebounds/194 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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