Two struggling teams meet when the Atlanta Hawks (15-16) host the Miami Heat (15-15) on Friday, December 26, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET. The Hawks will look to break a four-game losing run against the Heat, losers of three in a row.
The Hawks take the court as 4.5-point favorites against the Heat. The point total for the matchup is 245.5.
Hawks vs. Heat betting odds
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 3:29 a.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Spread: Atlanta -4.5Total: 245.5Moneyline: Atlanta -174, Miami +145
Heat at Hawks odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Heat (+ 4.5)Pick OU:
Under (245.5)Prediction:
Hawks 120 – Heat 119MoneylineThe Hawks have gone 8-9 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 47.1% of those games).When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -174 or shorter, Atlanta has a record of 6-4 (60% win percentage).The Hawks have a 63.5% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.This season, the Heat have won seven out of the 16 games, or 43.8%, in which they’ve been the underdog.Miami has a record of 2-8, a 20% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +145 or more by oddsmakers this season.Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Heat have a 40.8% chance to win.Against the spreadThe Hawks average just 1.2 more points per game (118.8) than the Heat allow (117.6).When Atlanta scores more than 117.6 points, it is 10-7 against the spread and 10-7 overall.Miami is 11-3 against the spread and 9-5 overall when it scores more than 119.6 points.Atlanta’s record is 9-7 against the spread and 11-5 overall when it gives up fewer than 119.2 points.The Hawks are the league’s 12th-ranked scoring team (118.8 PPG), while the Heat allow the rank 19th in points per game (117.6) in NBA action.The ninth-ranked scoring NBA team (119.2 PPG) is Miami, while the Atlanta squad ranks 24th in the league defensively (119.6 PPG).The Hawks have a -25-point scoring differential on the season (-0.8 per game). The Heat have out-scored opponents by 48 points on the season (1.6 more per game).Over/UnderAtlanta’s average implied point total this year is five fewer points than its implied total in Friday’s game (120 implied points on average compared to 125 implied points in this game).This season, Atlanta has totaled more than 125 points in a game 11 times.Miami’s average implied point total on the year (121.3 points) is 0.3 points higher than its implied total in this matchup (121 points).How to watch Hawks vs. HeatGame day: Friday, December 26, 2025Game time: 7 p.m. ETLocation: Atlanta, GeorgiaArena: State Farm ArenaTV channel: ANF – Atlanta News FirstLive stream: Watch this game on Fubo