The Nuggets are -3.5 favorites vs. the Magic
Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
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The Denver Nuggets visit Kia Center to take on the Orlando Magic on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Orlando, FL.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-118).
The Nuggets vs Magic Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 18-12 against the spread, while the Magic are 13-18 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Magic Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
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Magic vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Magic.
Magic vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 65.8% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 38 away games (+18.25 Units / 24% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 47 of their last 74 games (+16.90 Units / 20% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 52 of their last 84 games (+14.40 Units / 10% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 55 games (+14.34 Units / 17% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 58 of their last 98 games (+14.03 Units / 13% ROI)
Magic Best Bets for Tonight:
The Orlando Magic have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 52 of their last 83 games (+17.65 Units / 19% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have covered the 2Q Spread in 38 of their last 63 games (+12.90 Units / 18% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 38 of their last 67 games (+7.37 Units / 10% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games at home (+7.30 Units / 15% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games (+6.75 Units / 11% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 18-12 (+4.8 Units / 14.52% ROI).
22-8 against the Moneyline (-4.6 Units / -4.44% ROI)
20-10 against the Over for game total points (+9.03 Units / 27.39% ROI)
10-20 against the Under for game total points (-12 Units / -36.3% ROI)
Orlando Magic Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 13-18 (-6.8 Units / -19.94% ROI).
17-14 against the Moneyline (-4.7 Units / -7.44% ROI)
16-15 against the Over for game total points (-0.5 Units / -1.47% ROI)
15-16 against the Under for game total points (-2.6 Units / -7.62% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Magic:
The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 83 games (-30.10 Units / -31% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 33 of their last 84 games (-27.10 Units / -22% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have only covered the 2H Spread in 32 of their last 84 games (-25.71 Units / -27% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 83 games (-20.75 Units / -19% ROI)
The Orlando Magic have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 83 games (-20.15 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 70 games (-26.50 Units / -25% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 85 games (-26.37 Units / -22% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 98 games (-23.80 Units / -22% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 85 games (-23.38 Units / -24% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 18 of their last 54 games (-23.35 Units / -37% ROI)
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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic
The Nuggets are 15-3 (.833) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
The Nuggets are 11-5 (.688) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .519
The Nuggets are 19-7 (.731) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .513
The Nuggets are 12-7 (.632) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558
Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Magic averaged 6.0 blocks per game (488 blocks/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Magic allowed 11.4 made three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.5
The Magic averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,705 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Magic have averaged 35.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,093 rebounds/31 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are 15-3 (.833) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
The Nuggets are 11-5 (.688) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .519
The Nuggets are 19-7 (.731) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .513
The Nuggets are 12-7 (.632) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558
Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends
The Magic averaged 6.0 blocks per game (488 blocks/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Magic allowed 11.4 made three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.5
The Magic averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,705 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Magic have averaged 35.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,093 rebounds/31 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are 15-3 (.833) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
The Nuggets are 11-5 (.688) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .519
The Nuggets are 19-7 (.731) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .513
The Nuggets are 12-7 (.632) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558
Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends
The Magic averaged 6.0 blocks per game (488 blocks/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Magic allowed 11.4 made three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.5
The Magic averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,705 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Magic have averaged 35.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,093 rebounds/31 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
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