The Toronto Raptors (18-14) are underdogs (by 3.5 points) to break a five-game home losing streak when they host the Golden State Warriors (16-15) on Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET.

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Warriors vs. Raptors Predictions for Sunday

Our computer projection model for this matchup expects a final result of Raptors 114, Warriors 113.

Moneyline Pick: Raptors (+138)
Total Pick: Over 224 (computer predicts 226.5 points)
Pick ATS: Raptors (+3.5)
Recent Warriors vs. Raptors Matchups

Warriors 2025-26 Betting Trends

So far this season, Golden State has compiled a 15-16-0 record against the spread.
In games they have played as at least 3.5-point favorites this season, the Warriors are 7-8 against the spread.
The teams have hit the over in 17 of Golden State’s 32 games with a set total.
This season, the Warriors have been favored 21 times and won 12, or 57.1%, of those games.
This season, Golden State has won nine of its 14 games, or 64.3%, when favored by at least -164 on the moneyline.
Raptors 2025-26 Betting Trends

Toronto is 14-18-0 against the spread this year.
The Raptors have a 5-6 record against the spread when an underdog by 3.5 points or more this season.
A total of 12 of Toronto’s 32 games with a set total have hit the over (37.5%).
The Raptors have been the moneyline underdog 12 total times this season. They’ve finished 6-6 in those games.
Toronto has a record of 5-5 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +138 or longer (50%).

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Warriors vs. Raptors Injury Report

Warriors

Warriors:

De’Anthony Melton: Out (Knee),

Brandin Podziemski: Probable (Abdominal),

Seth Curry: Out (Thigh)

Raptors

Raptors:

Jakob Poeltl: Out (Back),

RJ Barrett: Questionable (Knee),

Collin Murray-Boyles: Questionable (Illness)

Warriors vs. Raptors Game Time and TV Channel

Game day: Sunday, December 28, 2025
Game time: 3:30 p.m. ET
TV channel: NBCS-BA and SportsNet
Location: Toronto, Ontario
Arena: Scotiabank Arena

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