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The Denver Nuggets (22-9) play the Miami Heat (17-15) on December 29, 2025. The matchup airs on FDSSUN and ALT2. The Nuggets square off with the Heat in a game that Denver is currently a moderate favorite by 4 points. The matchup has a point total of 244.5.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Nuggets-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & OddsWhen: Monday, December 29, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ETWhere: Kaseya Center in Miami, FloridaTV: FDSSUN and ALT2Live Boxscore: FOX Sports Nuggets vs Heat Betting Information Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Nuggets -4 -110 -110 244.5 -110 -110 -172 +144

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Nuggets vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (+ 4)
O/U Pick: Under (244.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 121 – Heat 120

Nuggets vs. Heat Betting InsightsNuggets games have finished over 244.5 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under, 14 times (out of 31) this year.This season, 14 of the Heat’s 32 total matchups have gone over 244.5 total points scored.These teams average a combined 246 points per game, 1.5 more points than the over/under of 244.5 set for this game.Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 234.9 points per game, 9.6 fewer than the point total for this matchup.Denver has come away with 20 wins in the 27 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.Miami has come away with eight wins in the 17 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.Denver has won its one head-to-head matchup against Miami.The Nuggets also hold a 1-0 advantage against the spread when playing the Heat.Nuggets Recent TrendsThe Nuggets are 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their last 10 games.Denver and its opponents have combined to score an average of 238.7 points in its last 10 games, 5.8 less than the 244.5 over/under in this matchup.In the Nuggets’ 31 games this season, they have 18 wins against the spread.This season, Denver has an against the spread record of 13-11 in its 24 games as a favorite of 4 points or more. Nuggets games this year have eclipsed the over/under 65.6% of the time (21 out of 32 games with a set point total).The Nuggets record 125.8 points per game, 8.4 more points than the 117.4 the Heat allow.When Denver scores more than 117.4 points, it is 16-10 against the spread and 19-7 overall.The Nuggets make 51.3% of their shots from the field this season, which is 5.9 percentage points higher than the Heat have allowed to their opponents (45.4%).The Nuggets have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered nine times in 15 opportunities when playing at home, and they’ve covered nine times in 16 opportunities on the road.Denver has exceeded the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (66.7%) than road tilts (68.8%).As a moneyline favorite, the Nuggets have won a lower percentage of their home games (.692) compared to away games (.786).Nuggets Recent Stats Stat Average Rank Points Scored 125.8 1 Points Allowed 117.5 19 Rebounds 44.3 16 Assists 29.7 3 Steals 7.2 27 Blocks 3.8 28 Nuggets LeadersNikola Jokic posts 29.9 points, 11.1 assists and 12.4 rebounds per contest.Jamal Murray averages 25.4 points, 6.8 assists and 4.4 boards per contest.Peyton Watson averages 10.7 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest, shooting 51.6% from the field and 40.0% from beyond the arc with 1.1 made 3-pointers per game.Tim Hardaway Jr. posts 13.2 points, 2.3 boards and 1.4 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocks.Bruce Brown averages 7.2 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game. Defensively he averages 1.0 steal and 0.3 blocks.Heat Recent TrendsThe Heat have gone 3-7 over their last 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span.Miami has averaged a total of 235.9 combined points over its last 10 games, 8.6 fewer than this matchup’s total of 244.5.The Heat have 18 wins against the spread in 32 games this year.Miami has an against the spread record of 5-4-1 in its 10 games when underdogs by 4 points or more this year.The Heat have gone over the point total 50% of the time this season (16 of 32 games with a set point total).The Heat put up just 2.7 more points per game (120.2) than the Nuggets allow (117.5).When it scores more than 117.5 points, Miami is 13-3 against the spread and 11-5 overall.The Heat have shot at a 47.2% clip from the field this season, the same as opponents of the Nuggets have averaged.Against the spread, the Heat have an identical winning percentage (.562) at home (9-7-0 record) and away (9-6-1).In terms of the over/under, Miami’s games have gone over less frequently at home (seven of 16, 43.8%) than on the road (nine of 16, 56.2%).As moneyline favorites, the Heat have won a higher percentage of games at home (8-5) than on the road (1-1).Heat Recent Stats Stat Average Rank Points Scored 120.2 6 Points Allowed 117.4 17 Rebounds 45.8 6 Assists 28.5 7 Steals 9.2 6 Blocks 4.5 18 Heat LeadersOn a per-game basis, Kel’el Ware gives the Heat 12.4 points, 10.6 rebounds and 0.5 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 1.3 blocked shots.On a per-game basis, Norman Powell gets the Heat 23.7 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.7 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.Jaime Jaquez Jr. gives the Heat 16.3 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.6 assists per contest while delivering 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.Bam Adebayo is averaging 18.0 points, 9.5 rebounds and 2.4 assists per contest. He is sinking 46.6% of his shots from the floor and 31.4% from 3-point range, with 1.4 triples per game.Andrew Wiggins is averaging 16.4 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest. He is sinking 48.3% of his shots from the field and 39.8% from 3-point range, with 1.8 triples per contest.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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