The Golden State Warriors visit the Charlotte Hornets this afternoon for a New Year’s Eve matchup at the Spectrum Center, with tip-off scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET.
Moussa Diabate has been taking advantage of his extended minutes lately, and my Warriors vs Hornets predictions will focus on his ability to score the rock.
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Read more in my NBA picks for Wednesday, December 31.
Warriors vs Hornets prediction
Warriors vs Hornets best bet: Moussa Diabate Over 9.5 points (-115)
Moussa Diabate has carved out a nice role for himself this season in the Charlotte Hornets’ frontcourt, serving as a physical presence on both ends of the floor. He’s averaging 8.2 PPG and 8.1 rebounds per game in 2025-26 while playing 23.1 minutes per night.
However, Diabate has been on the court for 30+ minutes in three straight contests, and that’s resulted in a larger offensive output. The big man has cashed the Over in points in all of those games, dropping 14,10, and 12 points.
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Diabate is averaging 8.9 PPG at home. Considering how well he’s performing lately, you can expect him to play heavy minutes again, and I don’t see him having any issues cashing the Over again here.
Warriors vs Hornets same-game parlay
Stephen Curry is having a monster campaign, averaging 28.8 points at 37 years of age. However, he scored under 20 points per contest in two meetings with the Hornets last season.
Also, Curry has cashed the Under in points in five of his previous six appearances, finishing just below tonight’s total in two of those games.
LaMelo Ball is an uber-talented playmaker, averaging 8.4 assists this season. But the Golden State Warriors are a tough matchup for PGs, holding opponents to 7.3 dimes per night.
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Ball has also cashed the Under in assists in two consecutive games.
Warriors vs Hornets SGP
Moussa Diabate Over 9.5 points
Stephen Curry Under 28.5 points
LaMelo Ball Under 7.5 assists
Our “from downtown” SGP: Podziemski is a triple threat
Brandin Podziemski has cashed the Over in triples made in five of his last seven appearances.
Warriors vs Hornets SGP
Moussa Diabate Over 9.5 points
Stephen Curry Under 28.5 points
LaMelo Ball Under 7.5 assists
Brandin Podziemski Over 1.5 threes
Warriors vs Hornets odds
Spread: Warriors -6.5 | Hornets +6.5
Moneyline: Warriors -230 | Hornets +190
Over/Under: Over 233.5 | Under 233.5
Warriors vs Hornets betting trend to know
The Warriors have hit the Over in 52 of their last 89 games (+11.30 Units / 12% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Hornets.
How to watch Warriors vs Hornets
Location
Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC
Date
Wednesday, December 31, 2025
Tip-off
1:00 p.m. ET
TV
NBA TV
Warriors vs Hornets latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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