Two of the NBA’s best scorers match up when Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (second, 32.1 PPG) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (29-5) visit Stephen Curry (ninth, 28.7 PPG) and the Golden State Warriors (18-16) on Friday, January 2, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and FDSOK. The Thunder are 9.5-point favorites.
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Thunder vs. Warriors Predictions for Friday
Our computer projections model for this contest predicts a final tally of Thunder 118, Warriors 112.
Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-389)
Total Pick: Over 228.5 (computer predicts 229.4 points)
Pick ATS: Warriors (+9.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Warriors Matchups
Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends
So far this season, Oklahoma City has put together an 18-16-0 record against the spread.
In games this season they were favored by 9.5 points or more, the Thunder have a 14-10 record against the spread.
Oklahoma City’s games have gone over the point total in 18 out of 34 opportunities (52.9%).
The Thunder have entered the game as favorites 34 times this season and won 29, or 85.3%, of those games.
This season, Oklahoma City has won 22 of its 23 games, or 95.7%, when favored by at least -389 on the moneyline.
Warriors 2025-26 Betting Trends
So far this year, Golden State has put together a 16-18-0 record against the spread.
The Warriors have not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 9.5 points or more this year (0-3).
The teams have combined to hit the over in 20 of Golden State’s 34 games with a set total.
The Warriors have a 4-6 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 40% of those games).
Golden State has not yet won a game when entering as a moneyline underdog with odds of +304 or longer in three chances.
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Thunder vs. Warriors Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),
Ousmane Dieng: Out (Calf),
Jaylin Williams: Out (Foot),
Isaiah Hartenstein: Out (Heel),
Nikola Topic: Out (Groin)
Warriors
Warriors:
Seth Curry: Out (Thigh),
De’Anthony Melton: Questionable (Knee),
Al Horford: Probable (Sciatic Nerve),
Draymond Green: Out (Rest),
Stephen Curry: Questionable (Ankle),
Trayce Jackson-Davis: Probable (Knee)
Thunder vs. Warriors Game Time and TV Channel
Game day: Friday, January 2, 2026
Game time: 10 p.m. ET
TV channel: Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and FDSOK
Location: San Francisco, California
Arena: Chase Center
Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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