The Golden State Warriors (18-16) will look to Stephen Curry (ninth in NBA, 28.7 points per game) to help overcome Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (second in league, 32.1) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (29-5) on Friday, January 2, 2026 at Chase Center, at 10 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and FDSOK.
The Thunder are a 9-point favorite against the Warriors when the Thunder and the Warriors meet. The point total for the matchup is set at 228.5.
Thunder vs. Warriors betting odds
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 3:29 a.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Spread: Oklahoma City -9Total: 228.5Moneyline: Oklahoma City -391, Golden State +306
Thunder at Warriors odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Warriors (+ 9)Pick OU:
Over (228.5)Prediction:
Thunder 118 – Warriors 112MoneylineThe Thunder have compiled a 29-5 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 85.3% of those games).In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -391 or shorter, Oklahoma City has a record of 22-1 (95.7% win percentage).Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Thunder’s implied win probability is 79.6%.The Warriors have been underdogs in 10 games this season and won four (40%) of those contests.Golden State has not won as an underdog of +306 or more on the moneyline this season in three games with those odds or longer.The moneyline for this contest implies a 24.6% chance of a victory for the Warriors.Against the spreadThe Thunder put up 122.1 points per game, 8.7 more points than the 113.4 the Warriors allow.Oklahoma City is 18-7 against the spread and 24-1 overall when scoring more than 113.4 points.When it scores more than 107.5 points, Golden State is 13-12 against the spread and 15-10 overall.Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 18-9 and a 25-2 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 115.6 points.The Thunder are the league’s second-ranked scoring team (122.1 PPG), while the Warriors allow the rank sixth in points per game (113.4) in NBA play.The 20th-ranked scoring NBA team (115.6 PPG) is Golden State, while the Oklahoma City squad ranks first in the league defensively (107.5 PPG).The Thunder have out-scored their opponents by a total of 497 points this season (14.6 points per game on average), and the Warriors have put up 73 more points than their opponents on the year (2.2 per game).Over/UnderThe average implied total for Oklahoma City this year is 121.1 points, 2.1 more points than its implied total of 119 points in Friday’s game.So far this season, Oklahoma City has put up more than 119 points in 23 games.The average implied point total on the year for Golden State (118.3) is 8.3 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (110).How to watch Thunder vs. Warriors