The Portland Trail Blazers (14-19) and Oklahoma City Thunder (28-5) meet Wednesday at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Trail Blazers vs. Thunder odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Thunder lead 2-1
The Trail Blazers picked up a 125-122 win over the Dallas Mavericks as a 2-point favorite last time out Monday, hitting the Over (233). G Deni Avdija went for 27 points, 11 assists and 9 rebounds, while G Shaedon Sharpe contributed with 24 points.
Portland has won 2 in a row, while going a respectable 5-3 straight up (SU) in the past 8 games. The Trail Blazers are 2-0 against the spread (ATS) in the past 2 games, but just 2-3-2 ATS in the past 7 outings, and 3-5-2 ATS across the past 10. The Over against the Mavs was a rarity, as the Under had been on a 5-0 run in the previous 5 games.
The defending champ Thunder topped the visiting Atlanta Hawks 140-129 Monday, just missing as 17-point favorites as the Over (236) cashed. C Chet Holmgren was good for 24 points, 10 rebounds and 2 blocks, while G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander dropped 39 points with 6 rebounds and 6 assists.
OKC lost the first meeting this season in Portland 121-119 Nov. 5, but has beaten the Blazers twice since — 122-95 Nov. 23 at home and 123-115 at Portland Nov. 30.
Trail Blazers at Thunder odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:46 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Trail Blazers +750 (bet $100 to win $750) | Thunder -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100)Against the spread: Trail Blazers +16.5 (-115) | Thunder -16.5 (-105)Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Trail Blazers at Thunder key injuries
Trail Blazers
F Jerami Grant (Achilles) outG Scoot Henderson (hamstring) outG Jrue Holiday (calf) outG Damian Lillard (Achilles) outF Kris Murray (quadriceps) questionableG Matisse Thybulle (thumb) outG Blake Wesley (foot) out
Thunder
C Ousmane Dieng (calf) outC Isaiah Hartenstein (foot) outG Nikola Topic (groin) outF Jaylin Williams (heel) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Trail Blazers at Thunder picks and predictionsPrediction
Thunder 124, Trail Blazers 113
The Thunder (-1200) will cost you 12 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward. For example, a $100 bet OKC would net a profit of just $8.33.
AVOID, and look to the spread instead.
The TRAIL BLAZERS +16.5 (-115) are a good play catching all of these points, as Portland has already beaten Oklahoma City once outright this season.
The Blazers have covered back-to-back games, including a 114-108 outright win over the Boston Celtics at home as a 9.5-point underdog Sunday, so it proved it can not only hang with elite teams, but win outright. However, that game was also in the PDX. Portland isn’t likely to shock Oklahoma City on the road, but this is an awfully huge spread.
The OVER 232.5 (-110) is the play, but don’t get too carried away.
While Portland cashed high against Dallas last time out, the Under is still 5-1 across the past 6 games. The Over-Under has split 3-3 in the past 6 road games for Portland.
The Over has cashed in 2 of the 3 meetings this season, although OKC routed Portland 122-95 at the only previous meeting at Paycom Center, as the Under comfortably cashed. Go high, but tread lightly.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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