Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Miami Heat odds, tips and betting trends

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Miami Heat odds, tips and betting trends | 1/17/2026

The Oklahoma City Thunder (35-7) will look to build on a five-game winning run when visiting the Miami Heat (21-20) on Saturday, January 17, 2026 at Kaseya Center. It airs at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN, FDSOK, KWTV, and WPLG.

The Thunder are a 9.5-point favorite against the Heat when the Thunder and the Heat meet. The matchup features a point total of 234.5.

Thunder vs. Heat betting odds

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Saturday at 3:30 a.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Spread: Oklahoma City -9.5Total: 234.5Moneyline: Oklahoma City -395, Miami +309Watch this game on Fubo!Thunder at Heat odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Heat (+ 9.5)Pick OU: Under (234.5)Prediction: Thunder 120 – Heat 113MoneylineThe Thunder have won 83.3% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (35-7).Oklahoma City has gone 25-2 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -395 or shorter (winning 92.6%).Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Thunder’s implied win probability is 79.8%.The Heat have entered the game as underdogs 23 times this season and won 10, or 43.5%, of those games.Miami has not won as an underdog of +309 or more on the moneyline this season in two games with those odds or longer.The moneyline for this contest implies a 24.4% chance of a victory for the Heat.Against the spreadThe 121.1 points per game the Thunder record are just 3.3 more points than the Heat give up (117.8).Oklahoma City has an 18-9 record against the spread and a 26-1 record overall when scoring more than 117.8 points.Miami is 21-11 against the spread and 18-14 overall when it scores more than 107.7 points.Oklahoma City is 21-14 against the spread and 31-4 overall when it allows fewer than 119.4 points.The Thunder are the NBA’s second-ranked scoring team (121.1 PPG), while the Heat rank 22nd in points per game allowed (117.8) in the league.The fifth-ranked scoring NBA team (119.4 PPG) is Miami, while the Oklahoma City squad ranks first in the league defensively (107.7 PPG).The Thunder have totaled 562 more points than their opponents this season (13.4 per game on average), and the Heat have scored 65 more points than their opponents (1.6 per game).Over/UnderThe average implied total for Oklahoma City this season is 121.2 points, 0.8 fewer points than its implied total of 122 points in Saturday’s game.So far this season, Oklahoma City has scored more than 122 points in a game 23 times.The average implied point total on the season for Miami (121.5) is 8.5 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (113).How to watch Thunder vs. HeatGame day: Saturday, January 17, 2026Game time: 8 p.m. ETLocation: Miami, FloridaArena: Kaseya CenterTV channel: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas CityLive stream: Watch this game on FuboWatch this game on Fubo!

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