The Oklahoma City Thunder (35-7) will try to continue a five-game win streak when they visit the Miami Heat (21-20) on Saturday, January 17, 2026 at Kaseya Center as 9.5-point favorites. The matchup airs at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN, FDSOK, KWTV, and WPLG.

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Thunder vs. Heat Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projections model for this game predicts a final score of Thunder 120, Heat 113.

Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-424)
Total Pick: Under 234.5 (computer predicts 233.0 points)
Pick ATS: Heat (+9.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Heat Matchups

Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends

Oklahoma City is 21-21-0 ATS this season.
The Thunder have a 15-14 record against the spread when favored by 9.5 points or more this season.
The teams have hit the over in 21 of Oklahoma City’s 41 games with a set total.
The Thunder have been favorites in 42 games this season and won 35 (83.3%) of those contests.
This season, Oklahoma City has won 24 of its 26 games, or 92.3%, when favored by at least -424 on the moneyline.
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends

Miami is 23-17-1 against the spread this season.
The Heat have a 1-1 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 9.5 points or more this season.
Miami’s games have gone over the point total 19 out of 41 times (46.3%).
The Heat have a 10-13 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 43.5% of those games).
Miami has played as a moneyline underdog of +329 or longer in just one game this season, which it lost.

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Thunder vs. Heat Injury Report

Thunder

Thunder:

Nikola Topic: Out (Groin),

Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),

Isaiah Hartenstein: Day-To-Day (Calf)

Heat

Heat:

Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Out (Knee),

Tyler Herro: Questionable (Toe),

Davion Mitchell: Out (Shoulder)

Thunder vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel

Game day: Saturday, January 17, 2026
Game time: 8 p.m. ET
TV channel: FDSSUN, FDSOK, KWTV, and WPLG
Location: Miami, Florida
Arena: Kaseya Center
Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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