Jan. 19, 2026, 6:31 a.m. ET

The Oklahoma City Thunder (35-8) and Cleveland Cavaliers (24-19) meet Monday at Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. Tip-off is scheduled for 2:30 p.m. ET (NBC / Peacock). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Thunder vs. Cavaliers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

2024-25 season series: Tied 1-1

The Thunder suffered a 122-120 loss at the Miami Heat last time out Saturday as a 10.5-point favorite as the Over (235.5) cashed. G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rolled up 39 points on 12-of-19 from the field, while adding 4 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 3-pointers and a steal, while C Chet Holmgren was good for 14 points, 11 rebounds and 5 blocks.

OKC has won 5 of the past 6 games outright, but it is just 2-6 against the spread (ATS) in the past 8 outings, while the Over has cashed in 4 of the previous 6 contests.

The Cavaliers swept a back-to-back set at the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday and Friday, covering both meetings. In a narrow 117-115 win as a 2.5-point underdog on Friday, F Jaylon Tyson had a career-high 39 points, while G Donovan Mitchell had 13 points with 12 assists, and F Evan Mobley posted 15 points with 4 blocks.

Cleveland has won 3 of the past 4 games, while also going 3-1 ATS in the span. The Over has a slight 3-2 edge in the past 5 games, although the Under is 7-4 in the previous 11 outings.

Watch the NBA on Fubo!Thunder at Cavaliers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:28 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Thunder -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Cavaliers +200 (bet $100 to win $200)Against the spread: Thunder -6.5 (-105) | Cavaliers +6.5 (-115)Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Thunder at Cavaliers key injuries

Thunder

C-F Isaiah Hartenstein (calf) outG Jalen Williams (hamstring) out

Cavaliers

G Darius Garland (toe) outG Sam Merrill (hand) outF Max Strus (foot) outF Dean Wade (knee) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Thunder at Cavaliers picks and predictionsPrediction

Thunder 122, Cavaliers 117

The Thunder (-250) will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not that much reward.

Perhaps including OKC as part of a multi-leg parlay, especially if you have a boost, that might be OK to use the Thunder. But, don’t bet OKC straight up.

PASS.

Back the CAVALIERS +6.5 (-115) catching more than 3 buckets at home. Cleveland has picked up pace with 3 covers in the past 4 games, while going 3-3 ATS in the past 6 outings at home.

For the Thunder, they’re just 2-6 ATS in the past 8 games, while going 5-9 ATS in the past 14 outings since Dec. 23. OKC has failed to cover the past 4 games against Eastern Conference teams, too, while going just 1-3 ATS in the past 4 outings on the road.

The OVER 234.5 (-110) is worth playing lightly in this matinee battle on the Dr. Martin Luther King Day holiday.

The Over has cashed in 4 of the past 6 games for the Thunder, while also going 4-2 in the past 6 road contests, too.

The total has gone high in 3 of the previous 5 outings for the Cavs, with the offense good for 117 or more points in 5 of the past 6 games, while allowing 114 or more points in 6 of the previous 7 contests.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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