Updated Jan. 24, 2026, 8:06 p.m. ET

Update 5:45 p.m. ET: This NBA postponed this game “to prioritize the safety and security of the Minneapolis community” following another fatal shooting by federal officers in the city. The game has been rescheduled for Sunday at 5:30 p.m. ET.

Original column below (published 11:45 a.m. ET)

The Golden State Warriors (25-21) face the Minnesota Timberwolves (27-18) at Target Center Saturday. Tip-off from Minneapolis, Minnesota, is set for 5:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Warriors vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Minnesota leads 1-0

Golden State suffered a 123-115 loss against the Dallas Mavericks Thursday while failing to cover as a 6.5-point road favorite with the Over (234.5) hitting. Stephen Curry finished with 38 points in the team’s first game since F Jimmy Butler III tore his ACL, but he could not overcome 3 Mavericks finishing with more than 20 points. The Warriors were dominated 54-35 on the glass in the loss.

Minnesota was upset in a 120-115 outing against the Chicago Bulls Thursday, failing to cover as a 9.5-point home favorite while the Under (239.5) hit. Julius Randle scored 30, but it meant nothing as the Wolves fouled the Bulls 27 times, leading to 27 made free throws. The Timberwolves have lost 4 straight and have given up at least 120 points in the last 3 losses.

The Timberwolves handed the Warriors a 127-120 loss Dec. 12 while covering as 5-point road underdogs as the Over (228.5) cashed. Curry finished with 39 in the loss, but the Warriors allowed for 3 Timberwolves to finish with over 20 points on the other side.

Watch the NBA on Fubo!Warriors at Timberwolves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Warriors +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Timberwolves -225 (bet $225 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +5.5 (-105) | Timberwolves -5.5 (-115)Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Warriors at Timberwolves key injuries

Warriors

F Jimmy Butler III (knee) outG Seth Curry (back) outF Jonathan Kuminga (knee) out

Timberwolves

F Terrance Shannon Jr (foot) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Warriors at Timberwolves picks and predictionsPrediction

Timberwolves 124, Warriors 117

PASS.

Minnesota is the better team, and the Wolves will be able to throw multiple bodies at Curry while still keeping the rest of the Warriors from having big nights, so look for the Wolves to cover here as -225 favorites. However, no team favored so heavily is worth the risk of betting on, so pass and bet on the spread and/or total instead.

LEAN TIMBERWOLVES -5.5 (-115).

Minnesota has covered the spread in all of its last 5 matchups against the Warriors, including covering in each of the previous 2 meetings in Minnesota.

With Butler out, the vibes in the Warriors’ locker room are low, and they will be missing a guy who creates rim pressure, gets to the line and plays defense. So look for Minnesota to outclass Golden State a bit here.

This is a lean because the Timberwolves sit at just 19-26 ATS this season.

BET OVER 237.5 (-110).

The Over has hit in 7 of Golden State’s last 10 games and is 5-0 in their last 5 outings. For Minnesota, the Over is 2-1 in its last 3 games. The Over has also hit in 6 of the last 9 matchups between these squads, including all 3 of the last meetings.

Curry was able to carry Golden State’s offense enough for the Over to hit against Dallas, and while this will be a tougher matchup, look for him to do all he can to get buckets for his team.

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