Mavericks vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props

Bucks vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Sunday‘s game with 74.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Bucks.

Bucks vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 69.6% confidence.

Bet now on Bucks vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM

Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)

The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.60 Units / 19% ROI)

The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)

The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 42% ROI)

The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.05 Units / 35% ROI)

Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:

The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 2H Spread in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.00 Units / 26% ROI)

The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+11.70 Units / 25% ROI)

The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)

The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)

The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.60 Units / 25% ROI)

Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 21-25 (-6.55 Units / -12.93% ROI).

19-27 against the Moneyline (-0.95 Units / -1.57% ROI)

20-26 against the Over for game total points (-8.6 Units / -17% ROI)

26-20 against the Under for game total points (+4 Units / 7.91% ROI)

Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 19-25 (-8.5 Units / -17.58% ROI).

18-26 against the Moneyline (-15.55 Units / -21.32% ROI)

17-27 against the Over for game total points (-12.7 Units / -26.24% ROI)

27-17 against the Under for game total points (+8.3 Units / 17.15% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:

The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-22.35 Units / -48% ROI)

The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-20.05 Units / -28% ROI)

The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.20 Units / -33% ROI)

The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 35 games (-18.80 Units / -33% ROI)

The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-17.90 Units / -39% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.95 Units / -31% ROI)

The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 35 away games (-16.80 Units / -44% ROI)

The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 40 away games (-15.65 Units / -34% ROI)

The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 away games (-15.60 Units / -34% ROI)

The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 7 of their last 25 away games (-12.80 Units / -47% ROI)

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Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Mavericks are 4-17 (.190) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .450

The Mavericks are 8-15 (.348) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

The Mavericks are 8-15 (.348) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .429

The Mavericks were 5-13 (.278) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Bucks are winless (0-7) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .214

The Bucks are 6-3 (.667) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .519

The Bucks are 106-41 (.721) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Mavericks have allowed 115.7 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

The Bucks are 56-21 (.727) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 19.0 fast break points per game (875 points/46 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2

The Mavericks are shooting 33% from three (255/769) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks have a TS% of 50% in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Mavericks have averaged 12.6 second chance points per game (579 points/46 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 46% from three (104/228) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Bucks have averaged 11.4 second chance points per game (501 points/44 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

The Bucks are shooting 39% from three (645/1,645) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Bucks are shooting 41% from three (319/788) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 37.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,725 rebounds/46 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Mavericks have averaged 7.7 steals per game (356 steals/46 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have allowed an average of 1.24 points per shot (5,361 points/4,314 shots) this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.30

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks averaged 6.8 steals per game (558 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bucks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (730 steals/103 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Bucks have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (7,628 rebounds/208 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2