Farmer’s prediction: A motivated Jaden McDaniels will continue to make his presence felt from deep.
Jan 31, 2026 • 14:53 ET
• 4 min read
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Minnesota Timberwolves forward Jaden McDaniels (3).
The Minnesota Timberwolves are teetering.
A quick hot streak could push them into position for homecourt advantage in the first round. A stumble could doom them toward the Play-In Tournament.
Luckily, the Memphis Grizzlies should be a matchup that helps Minnesota stay on its current hot streak.
My Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies predictions recognize which starter is hottest these days.
Read more in my NBA picks for Saturday, January 31.
Timberwolves vs Grizzlies prediction
Timberwolves vs Grizzlies best bet: Jaden McDaniels Over 13.5 points (-112)
Jaden McDaniels clearly doesn’t want to be traded, and he’s been playing all season like he shouldn’t be.
McDaniels’ 21 points on a perfect 5-of-5 from three on Thursday grabbed headlines because it came against the Thunder, but the Minnesota Timberwolves forward has been performing at this level for some time.
He has cleared this prop in seven of his last nine games, part of doing so in 26 of 47 games this season. McDaniels’ long-range shooting has jumped this season, hitting 44.0% on the year while taking 3.4 per game. He should take more tonight.
The Memphis Grizzlies have given up the fourth-most attempts from beyond the arc in the last 10 games, with opponents taking 40.7 threes per game. When McDaniels gets those looks these days, he hits them.
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Timberwolves vs Grizzlies same-game parlay
McDaniels has hit multiple 3-pointers in three straight games and five of his last six, shooting 58.3% from deep.
That has certainly helped the Timberwolves cover the spread in three consecutive contests.
Timberwolves vs Grizzlies SGP
Jaden McDaniels Over 13.5 points
Jaden McDaniels Over 1.5 threes
Timberwolves -9
Our “from downtown” SGP: Playing Facilitator
When Julius Randle has to face a post defender entirely capable of stopping his isolation game, his points suffer — but his assists pop.
For example, he finished with 13 points and five assists against Oklahoma City’s post defenders on Thursday.
Timberwolves vs Grizzlies SGP
Jaden McDaniels Over 13.5 points
Jaden McDaniels Over 1.5 threes
Julius Randle Over 4.5 assists
Julius Randle Under 21.5 points
Timberwolves -9
Timberwolves vs Grizzlies odds
Spread: Timberwolves -9 (-110) | Grizzlies +9 (-110)
Moneyline: Timberwolves -360 | Grizzlies +280
Over/Under: Over 229.5 (-110) | Under 229.5 (-110)
Timberwolves vs Grizzlies betting trend to know
Memphis is 2-6 against the spread in its last eight games. Find more NBA betting trends for Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies.
How to watch Timberwolves vs Grizzlies
Location
FedExForum, Memphis, TN
Date
Saturday, January 31, 2026
Tip-off
8:00 p.m. ET
TV
FDSN North, FDSN Southeast Memphis
Timberwolves vs Grizzlies latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.
In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.
While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.
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