Jan. 31, 2026, 11:39 a.m. ET

The Atlanta Hawks (24-26) visit the Indiana Pacers (12-36) Saturday. Tip-off from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana, is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Hawks vs. Pacers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Atlanta leads 2-0

Atlanta was dominated 104-86 by the Houston Rockets Thursday, failing to cover as a 6.5-point home underdog as the Under (224.5) hit. Only 3 Hawks finished in double figures, as Atlanta shot just 37% from the field and 31% from deep while failing to score 25 points in any quarter of the loss. The defeat ended the Hawks’ 4-game winning streak.

Indiana escaped with a 113-110 win over the Chicago Bulls Wednesday to cover as a 2-point road underdog while the Under (235.5) hit. G Aaron Nesmith came up huge in the clutch, hitting the go-ahead layup and following that up with a block on the other end to secure the win. The Pacers made 22 free throws to Chicago’s 14 Wednesday.

The Hawks dominated the Pacers 132-116 Monday while covering as 5.5-point home favorites, as the Over (234.5) cashed. Atlanta has won both matchups against Indiana by at least 16 points this season, covering the spread in both, while the Over has also hit in both.

Watch the NBA on Fubo!Hawks at Pacers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:39 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Hawks -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Pacers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Hawks -1.5 (-110) | Pacers +1.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Hawks at Pacers key injuries

Hawks

F Jalen Johnson (calf) questionableC Onyeka Okongwu (dental) outC Kristaps Porzingis (Achilles) outF Zaccharie Risacher (knee) questionable

Pacers

G Tyrese Haliburton (Achilles) outF Obi Toppin (foot) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Hawks at Pacers picks and predictionsPrediction

Pacers 109, Hawks 108

PASS.

I lean toward the Pacers as +100 underdogs, but since they’re one of the worst teams in the league, I recommend backing them on the spread rather than taking the risk on the moneyline. Pass on this bet and play the spread and/or total instead.

LEAN PACERS +1.5 (-110).

The Pacers have covered the spread in 2 of their last 3 games overall and in 4 of their last 5 home games.

With Johnson potentially out, this is one of the best possible matchups for Indiana right now, so look for the Pacers to cover comfortably — and possibly win outright — if he’s unable to go. Look for F Pascal Siakam to have a big game, and expect to see the Hawks struggle offensively.

This is a lean because the Hawks have covered in all of their last 5 matchups against the Pacers.

BET UNDER 232.5 (-110).

The Under has hit in 7 of Indiana’s last 10 games, including 4 of its last 5 road games. The Under is also 30-18 for the Pacers this season. For Atlanta, the Under is 6-4 in its last 10 games and has hit in back-to-back contests.

The Pacers are a bad team on both ends of the floor, but their defense has been better than their league-worst offense. These are 2 flawed teams, especially if Johnson can’t go, so look for a game where both offenses simply miss a lot of shots rather than either defense being the main catalyst.

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