Nuggets vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props

Pistons vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Tuesday‘s game with 72.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Pistons.

Pistons vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 64.5% confidence.

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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 away games (+25.45 Units / 34% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 away games (+13.40 Units / 23% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 away games (+12.70 Units / 24% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.63 Units / 24% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 17 away games (+10.55 Units / 54% ROI)

Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:

The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 23 games (+18.90 Units / 72% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 40 games (+18.50 Units / 21% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 games (+17.70 Units / 14% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+12.45 Units / 18% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+12.35 Units / 21% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 29-21 (+5.9 Units / 10.72% ROI).

33-17 against the Moneyline (+6.65 Units / 5.05% ROI)

31-19 against the Over for game total points (+10.13 Units / 18.43% ROI)

19-31 against the Under for game total points (-15.1 Units / -27.42% ROI)

Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 26-22 (+1.8 Units / 3.41% ROI).

36-12 against the Moneyline (+17.05 Units / 13.29% ROI)

20-28 against the Over for game total points (-10.8 Units / -20.45% ROI)

28-20 against the Under for game total points (+6 Units / 11.36% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:

The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 2 of their last 23 games (-22.15 Units / -83% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 17 of their last 40 games (-17.48 Units / -24% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.55 Units / -30% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 games at home (-15.09 Units / -29% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 23 games (-12.70 Units / -50% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.65 Units / -29% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.35 Units / -29% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.66 Units / -34% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.10 Units / -27% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.25 Units / -25% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Nuggets are 32-6 (.842) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .618

The Nuggets are 13-4 (.765) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

The Nuggets are 30-15 (.667) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .508

The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Pistons were 3-36 (.077) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Pistons were 2-38 (.050) when losing the rebounding margin in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 1.42 points per shot (3,148 points/2,212 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Nuggets are shooting 41% from three (368/891) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets are shooting 40% from three (693/1,735) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets averaged 59.4 points in the paint per game (2,434 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 30.7 points in the paint per game (1,474 points/48 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Pistons have a TS% of 45% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Pistons have averaged 57.2 points in the paint per game (2,746 points/48 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.5

The Pistons averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (850 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 6.9 steals per game (344 steals/50 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (207 blocks/50 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (306 blocks/48 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons have averaged 10.7 steals per game (512 steals/48 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pistons have 512 steals this season — tied for most among NBA teams

The Pistons averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9