As hard to stomach as the Giannis Antetokounmpo trade rumors have been, If the team that late afternoon Feb. 4 has the best odds to complete a deal for the Milwaukee Bucks‘ global superstar by 2 p.m. CT, Feb. 5, would somehow come true, the painful feelings would be even more excruciating.
While those that hope Giannis will remain a Buck for life (or for the next few months) will at least be pleased to see that the odds of Antetokounmpo not being traded by the trading deadline have improved to over 60%, the rival Chicago Bulls, who have already made three trades over the last couple days are the surprising favorite with a 14% to 17% chance to acquire Giannis before Thursday’s deadline according to Polymarket and Kalshi.
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Say what?
Giannis dunking in front of Benny the Bull instead of Bango would not be the kind of inside stuff trade news Bucks nation could accept.
But before anybody gets too worked up about Antetokounmpo being traded 90 minutes south, there’s a reason for this absolute madness.
One single bettor.
Because trade bets like this have limited action, it does not take a large wager to move the action considerably. It appears that is the case here. The Bulls have never been mentioned as a possible suitor for Giannis this week.
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With the caveat that there are frequent changes, here are the predictions about whether Giannis will be traded – and to whom – as of 5 p.m. Wednesday, Feb. 4:
Polymarket predictions for ‘Where will Giannis be traded?’
Golden State Warriors: 5%
Here are the latest Polymarket predictions
Kalshi predictions for ‘Giannis Antetokounmpo’s next team?’
Minnesota Timberwolves: 8%
Golden State Warriors: 7%
Here are the latest Kalshi predictions
This article originally appeared on Milwaukee Journal Sentinel: Giannis trade odds? Here’s what Polymarket, Kalshi say