Wizards vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props

Pistons vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Thursday‘s game with 74.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Pistons.

Pistons vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Wizards Best Bets for Tonight:

The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 away games (+14.20 Units / 31% ROI)

The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (+11.45 Units / 22% ROI)

The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 35 games (+9.20 Units / 26% ROI)

The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+8.85 Units / 32% ROI)

The Washington Wizards have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+7.45 Units / 50% ROI)

Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:

The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 40 games (+18.50 Units / 21% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 24 games (+17.80 Units / 65% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 45 games (+17.45 Units / 14% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+13.05 Units / 23% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.10 Units / 44% ROI)

Washington Wizards Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 21-28 (-9.8 Units / -18.18% ROI).

13-36 against the Moneyline (-1 Units / -1.99% ROI)

25-24 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -2.6% ROI)

24-25 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -6.49% ROI)

Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 26-23 (+0.7 Units / 1.3% ROI).

37-12 against the Moneyline (+18.05 Units / 13.86% ROI)

21-28 against the Over for game total points (-9.8 Units / -18.18% ROI)

28-21 against the Under for game total points (+4.9 Units / 9.09% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:

The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 24 games (-21.15 Units / -76% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 40 games (-19.92 Units / -28% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.80 Units / -34% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 2H Spread in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.31 Units / -29% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-12.99 Units / -25% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Wizards:

The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 40 away games (-20.45 Units / -44% ROI)

The Washington Wizards have only covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-19.05 Units / -33% ROI)

The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 away games (-13.50 Units / -30% ROI)

The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 away games (-12.74 Units / -28% ROI)

The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-12.45 Units / -24% ROI)

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Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Wizards are 2-20 (.091) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .390

The Wizards were 6-23 (.207) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Wizards are winless (0-5) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .571

The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Pistons were 7-25 (.219) when scoring 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Pistons were 4-34 (.105) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards shot 33% from three (513/1,572) at home last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards shot 34% from three (473/1,396) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (850 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Pistons have averaged 30.8 points in the paint per game (1,508 points/49 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Pistons have 27.0 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

The Pistons have a TS% of 45% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 16.9 second chance points per game (1,827 points/108 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.1

The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards allowed 16.4 second chance points per game (1,345 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (7,376 rebounds/213 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (310 blocks/49 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons have averaged 10.6 steals per game (521 steals/49 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pistons have forced 17.4 turnovers per game (851 turnovers/49 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.5

The Pistons have allowed a TS% of 48% this season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%