Pelicans vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props

Timberwolves vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:

The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.25 Units / 44% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 86% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+8.50 Units / 23% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.05 Units / 29% ROI)

Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:

The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2H Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.38 Units / 20% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.40 Units / 43% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+9.37 Units / 10% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.32 Units / 38% ROI)

New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 28-25 (+0.5 Units / 0.86% ROI).

13-40 against the Moneyline (-18.6 Units / -33.33% ROI)

27-26 against the Over for game total points (-1.6 Units / -2.74% ROI)

26-27 against the Under for game total points (-3.7 Units / -6.35% ROI)

Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 23-29 (-8.95 Units / -15.63% ROI).

32-20 against the Moneyline (-13.4 Units / -8.4% ROI)

26-26 against the Over for game total points (-2.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)

26-26 against the Under for game total points (-2.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:

The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 games (-25.90 Units / -22% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 17 games at home (-17.05 Units / -56% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (-15.30 Units / -12% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games at home (-15.10 Units / -29% ROI)

The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 25 games at home (-13.65 Units / -47% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:

The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 45 games (-16.15 Units / -34% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 away games (-14.30 Units / -31% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 21 games (-14.15 Units / -57% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games (-13.50 Units / -26% ROI)

The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 35 games (-12.80 Units / -31% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Pelicans are 1-17 (.056) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .445

The Pelicans are 5-22 (.185) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Pelicans are 3-26 (.103) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .371

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Timberwolves are 17-9 (.654) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .482

The Timberwolves are 15-2 (.882) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .784

The Timberwolves were 48-20 (.706) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Timberwolves are 50-36 (.581) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 32% from three (277/854) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans shot 38% from three (138/361) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Pelicans averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (182 points/58 games) in close and late situations last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.3

The Pelicans have averaged 57.2 points in the paint per game (3,030 points/53 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 50% (288/574) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves have averaged 60.7 points per game (3,158 points/52 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.8

The Timberwolves shot 39% from three (1,037/2,681) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56% this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,784 rebounds/53 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Pelicans averaged 8.5 steals per game (701 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Pelicans have averaged 9.0 steals per game (972 steals/108 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Pelicans have averaged 9.0 steals per game (476 steals/53 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have blocked 293 shots this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (293 blocks/52 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Timberwolves blocked 496 shots in the 2023-24 season — 5th most among NBA teams