The Timberwolves are -6.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
Watch the game on FDSN | FDSE
The Atlanta Hawks visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Minneapolis, MN.
The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Hawks vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 26-28 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 23-31 against the spread.
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Hawks vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineAtlanta Hawks+6.5 -110O 238.5 -110+200Minnesota Timberwolves -6.5 -110U 238.5 -110-250
Timberwolves vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Monday‘s game with 70.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Timberwolves.
Timberwolves vs Hawks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 64.7% confidence.
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Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:
The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.00 Units / 22% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 away games (+8.35 Units / 62% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.00 Units / 17% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 away games (+6.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 23 games at home (+12.50 Units / 49% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 23 games at home (+12.40 Units / 47% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2H Spread in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+9.23 Units / 34% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+8.75 Units / 48% ROI)
Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 26-28 (-4.75 Units / -8% ROI).
26-28 against the Moneyline (-4.55 Units / -5.42% ROI)
28-26 against the Over for game total points (-0.6 Units / -1.01% ROI)
26-28 against the Under for game total points (-4.8 Units / -8.08% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 23-31 (-11.15 Units / -18.76% ROI).
32-22 against the Moneyline (-20.05 Units / -12.07% ROI)
26-28 against the Over for game total points (-4.8 Units / -8.08% ROI)
28-26 against the Under for game total points (-0.6 Units / -1.01% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games (-25.20 Units / -28% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (-21.90 Units / -18% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 19 games at home (-21.15 Units / -61% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 25 games at home (-15.85 Units / -55% ROI)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 20 games at home (-14.85 Units / -63% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:
The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 away games (-15.85 Units / -35% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-15.60 Units / -26% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 35 away games (-13.90 Units / -35% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 35 games (-12.10 Units / -30% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 16 of their last 40 games (-11.15 Units / -24% ROI)
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Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Hawks are undefeated (11-0) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .626
The Hawks are winless (0-6) when assisting on fewer than 20 field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .228
The Hawks are winless (0-20) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .098
The Hawks are 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .374
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks
The Timberwolves are 17-9 (.654) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .482
The Timberwolves are 15-2 (.882) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .784
The Timberwolves were 48-20 (.706) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511
The Timberwolves are 50-36 (.581) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456
Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks are shooting 46% from three (108/236) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Hawks have averaged 30.8 assists per game (1,632 assists/53 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.6
The Hawks have an eFG% of 59% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Hawks have a 23% free throw rate (1,104 free throw attempts/4,860 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves are shooting 50% (288/574) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Timberwolves have averaged 60.7 points per game (3,158 points/52 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.8
The Timberwolves shot 39% from three (1,037/2,681) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56% this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have averaged 8.8 steals per game (1,905 steals/217 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Hawks averaged 35.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,868 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Hawks averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,813 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (619/1,585) in the first half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have blocked 293 shots this season — 4th most among NBA teams
The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31
The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (293 blocks/52 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Timberwolves blocked 496 shots in the 2023-24 season — 5th most among NBA teams
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