Bill Yin details his best NBA player prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Tuesday’s game between the Suns and Mavericks.
The 31-22 Suns are hosting the 19-33 Mavericks tonight. On DraftKings Sportsbook, Phoenix is favored by 8.5 points and this game carries a total of 228.5 points. Let’s take a look at some of my favorite player prop bets for this game.
Best Suns vs. Mavericks Player Prop Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook
With Kevin Durant out of the picture, Devin Booker has resumed his role as the number one option in Phoenix. On one hand, I did expect a bit more out of Booker, who by all accounts has hit his usual standard with 25.3 PPG and 6.3 APG, but on the other hand, he’s still playing very well. And this team has looked way better than advertised too. The Suns are the seventh seed with a 31-22 record. They’re currently 14th in OFFRTG and 8th in DEFRTNG, which speaks volumes as to how well this team has bounced back since losing Durant.
Book’s eclipsed 6.5 assists just once in his last five games but is still averaging right around this number on the season. If we factor in the fact that Booker’s four sub 6.5 assist games were Away games, it’s not difficult to expect more out of him tonight, as his Away APG is 5.6 APG, while his Home APG is 7.0. Due to tonight’s contest being at home and the Suns’ reliance on Booker as a playmaker and offense creator, I’m backing Book to put up Over 6.5 assists tonight.
Mark Williams O 8.5 Rebounds
The Mavericks are a poor rebounding team, allowing 56.3 ORPG this season. This was partially due to the hole that Anthony Davis’ injury left them in; without Davis, they don’t have many other options who are big enough to contest rebounds consistently. Their only other big rebounder is Dereck Lively, who has appeared in just seven games this season.
Williams has been having a quiet season for the Suns so far in his first year on this team but his availability has been impressive. Believe it or not, his current 48 games is the most he’s ever appeared in throughout his NBA career. His previous high was last season’s 44. Williams is averaging 8.2 RPG, but his per-36 numbers still look strong. He’s at 12.2 RPG per-36, and 13 RPG per-36 over his entire career, indicating that Williams is an elite rebounder who can dominate the glass if he gets enough minutes.
Williams has double digit rebounds in three out of his last five games and I’m expecting his efforts on the glass to continue tonight against a Mavericks team that’s simply conceding far too many rebounds.
Naji Marshall U 14.5 Points
Marshall has been one of the biggest beneficiaries of the AD-sized hole in the Mavs’ roster, and he’s now currently averaging a career-high 14.7 PPG. The 28 year old recently dropped a massive 32 point, six rebound game against the Spurs in a 12 point loss. I don’t expect Marshall to be able to do much tonight, though, against this Phoenix defense. The Suns are holding opponents to just 111.4 PPG, the fifth lowest mark in the league. Besides Marshall’s 32 point game, he hasn’t been impressive scoring the basketball. In his last five, he’s eclipsed 14.5 points only twice, with the other three all being single digit point performances.