Thunder vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props

Suns vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 77.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Suns.

Suns vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 58.3% confidence.

Bet now on Suns vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM

Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 away games (+7.45 Units / 20% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.45 Units / 13% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 away games (+6.65 Units / 3% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.60 Units / 19% ROI)

Suns Best Bets for Tonight:

The Phoenix Suns have covered the Spread in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.40 Units / 30% ROI)

The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+16.10 Units / 18% ROI)

The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.85 Units / 28% ROI)

The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 38% ROI)

The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.75 Units / 16% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 26-28 (-4.8 Units / -8.08% ROI).

41-13 against the Moneyline (-11 Units / -3.16% ROI)

29-25 against the Over for game total points (+1.5 Units / 2.53% ROI)

25-29 against the Under for game total points (-6.9 Units / -11.62% ROI)

Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 35-19 (+14.1 Units / 23.74% ROI).

32-22 against the Moneyline (+14.1 Units / 15.35% ROI)

23-31 against the Over for game total points (-11.1 Units / -18.69% ROI)

31-23 against the Under for game total points (+5.7 Units / 9.6% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:

The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 50 games (-24.05 Units / -41% ROI)

The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 19 games (-18.85 Units / -74% ROI)

The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 3 of their last 19 games (-15.95 Units / -71% ROI)

The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.10 Units / -27% ROI)

The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.92 Units / -30% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 away games (-24.40 Units / -25% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 45 away games (-19.25 Units / -27% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 2Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 away games (-16.45 Units / -29% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 35 away games (-14.60 Units / -22% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 away games (-14.60 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Thunder are 88-14 (.863) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596

The Thunder are 58-7 (.892) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Thunder are 24-7 (.774) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .439

The Thunder are 132-35 (.790) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .578

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Suns are undefeated (10-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .780

The Suns are 3-4 (.429) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Suns are 13-3 (.812) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .693

The Suns were 22-11 (.667) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent in the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Thunder averaged 5.6 turnovers per game (463 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (784 rebounds/54 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 18.0

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 20.5 points in the paint per game (1,108 points/54 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.1

The Suns have averaged 43.0 points in the paint per game (1,162 points/27 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Suns have averaged 21.0 points in the paint per game (4,576 points/218 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.3

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (130 assists/ 109 TOs) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.8 steals per game (1,093 steals/111 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Thunder have averaged 11.0 steals per game (770 steals/70 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have averaged 10.2 steals per game (1,385 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have averaged 6.5 blocks per game (720 blocks/111 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 10.2 steals per game (551 steals/54 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Suns have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,769 rebounds/54 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Suns averaged 6.0 blocks per game (491 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Suns have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (214 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8