Spurs vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props

Warriors vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Wednesday‘s game with 75.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Warriors.

Warriors vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 57.7% confidence.

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Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:

The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 away games (+23.35 Units / 37% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+16.60 Units / 20% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.45 Units / 27% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 45 games (+14.80 Units / 28% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 away games (+13.90 Units / 34% ROI)

Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:

The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+10.65 Units / 61% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+9.60 Units / 58% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.20 Units / 34% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.20 Units / 31% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+5.90 Units / 19% ROI)

San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 30-23 (+4.7 Units / 8.06% ROI).

37-16 against the Moneyline (+14.95 Units / 10.33% ROI)

21-32 against the Over for game total points (-14.2 Units / -24.36% ROI)

32-21 against the Under for game total points (+8.9 Units / 15.27% ROI)

Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 25-29 (-6.9 Units / -11.62% ROI).

29-25 against the Moneyline (-10.55 Units / -8.09% ROI)

31-23 against the Over for game total points (+5.7 Units / 9.6% ROI)

23-31 against the Under for game total points (-11.1 Units / -18.69% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:

The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games at home (-22.10 Units / -17% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 games (-20.95 Units / -30% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 45 games (-20.80 Units / -40% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.95 Units / -35% ROI)

The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games at home (-15.40 Units / -16% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:

The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.55 Units / -29% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 away games (-16.25 Units / -35% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 30 games (-16.20 Units / -49% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 24 games (-15.20 Units / -54% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 35 away games (-14.60 Units / -36% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Spurs are undefeated (15-0) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .693

The Spurs are 15-1 (.938) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Spurs were 2-24 (.077) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Spurs were 9-38 (.191) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Warriors are 13-6 (.684) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have forced 13.5 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-lowest in the NBA.

The Warriors are 5-15 (.250) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Warriors were 7-3 (.700) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws in the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Warriors were 42-27 (.609) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 29.6 assists per game (1,214 assists/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2

The Spurs have averaged 16.4 fast break points per game (867 points/53 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2

The Spurs shot 35% from three (1,036/2,984) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Spurs are shooting 48% (2,253/4,729) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 39.6 points in the paint per game (1,070 points/27 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.3

The Warriors have averaged 21.2 points in the paint per game (1,144 points/54 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Warriors have averaged 11.7 fast break points per game (317 points/27 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

The Warriors have made 15.1 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,984 rebounds/53 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Spurs have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (272 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Spurs averaged 5.5 blocks per game (455 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Spurs have averaged 7.8 steals per game (412 steals/53 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 10.0 steals per game (542 steals/54 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Warriors averaged 9.4 steals per game (771 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Warriors have averaged 9.7 steals per game (1,313 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Warriors stole the ball 771 times last season — 4th most among NBA teams