Pistons vs Raptors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props

Raptors vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Wednesday‘s game with 60.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Raptors.

Raptors vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 52.1% confidence.

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Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:

The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 25 games (+16.70 Units / 59% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 40 games (+13.90 Units / 15% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.05 Units / 24% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+10.15 Units / 12% ROI)

Raptors Best Bets for Tonight:

The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.90 Units / 28% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.64 Units / 24% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.90 Units / 11% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+9.15 Units / 34% ROI)

Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 28-24 (+1.6 Units / 2.79% ROI).

39-13 against the Moneyline (+9.05 Units / 6.26% ROI)

22-30 against the Over for game total points (-11 Units / -19.23% ROI)

30-22 against the Under for game total points (+5.8 Units / 10.14% ROI)

Toronto Raptors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 27-26 (-1.6 Units / -2.69% ROI).

32-22 against the Moneyline (+9.3 Units / 9.24% ROI)

22-32 against the Over for game total points (-13.2 Units / -22.22% ROI)

32-22 against the Under for game total points (+7.8 Units / 13.13% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Raptors:

The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 50 games (-23.85 Units / -41% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 games (-19.59 Units / -38% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.10 Units / -27% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 40 games (-14.90 Units / -27% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.70 Units / -25% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:

The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 25 games (-20.20 Units / -69% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 20 of their last 45 games (-19.62 Units / -24% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.65 Units / -34% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 40 away games (-16.95 Units / -32% ROI)

The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 4Q Spread in 15 of their last 40 away games (-14.05 Units / -31% ROI)

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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Pistons were 5-33 (.132) when allowing 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Pistons were 3-36 (.077) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Raptors were winless (0-6) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .373

The Raptors are 6-13 (.316) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435

The Raptors are 26-73 (.263) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .445

The Raptors are 16-7 (.696) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (850 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Pistons have averaged 30.7 points in the paint per game (1,598 points/52 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Pistons have a TS% of 45% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Pistons have averaged 56.1 points in the paint per game (1,570 points/28 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (847 points/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

The Raptors have averaged 19.5 fast break points per game (2,141 points/110 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

The Raptors averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Raptors have averaged 19.5 fast break points per game (1,051 points/54 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 10.7 steals per game (554 steals/52 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pistons have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (324 blocks/52 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pistons have allowed a TS% of 47% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Pistons have 554 steals this season — most among NBA teams

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,847 rebounds/54 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Raptors averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,847 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Raptors averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,769 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (4,694 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2