Pacers vs Wizards Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props

Wizards vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Wizards.

Wizards vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.6% confidence.

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Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:

The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 58% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+10.22 Units / 43% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.33 Units / 16% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)

Wizards Best Bets for Tonight:

The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 30 games (+13.00 Units / 43% ROI)

The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (+9.70 Units / 19% ROI)

The Washington Wizards have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.05 Units / 31% ROI)

The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.60 Units / 42% ROI)

The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.65 Units / 12% ROI)

Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 28-27 (-1.7 Units / -2.81% ROI).

15-40 against the Moneyline (-15.15 Units / -23.88% ROI)

23-32 against the Over for game total points (-12.2 Units / -20.17% ROI)

32-23 against the Under for game total points (+6.7 Units / 11.07% ROI)

Washington Wizards Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 22-31 (-12.05 Units / -20.69% ROI).

14-39 against the Moneyline (+3.5 Units / 6.46% ROI)

28-25 against the Over for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.86% ROI)

25-28 against the Under for game total points (-5.8 Units / -9.95% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Wizards:

The Washington Wizards have only covered the 4Q Spread in 9 of their last 35 games at home (-19.75 Units / -49% ROI)

The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 35 games at home (-15.50 Units / -42% ROI)

The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 35 games at home (-13.65 Units / -37% ROI)

The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 35 games at home (-12.27 Units / -31% ROI)

The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 40 games (-11.95 Units / -26% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:

The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 50 away games (-18.55 Units / -33% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.90 Units / -29% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.70 Units / -23% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 18 of their last 45 away games (-13.20 Units / -25% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 45 away games (-12.85 Units / -27% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Pacers are 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Pacers are winless (0-19) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .216

The Pacers are 5-19 (.208) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

The Pacers are 4-13 (.235) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .523

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Wizards are winless (0-5) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Wizards were 6-23 (.207) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Wizards are 20-63 (.241) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Pacers have a TS% of 49% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards are shooting 34% from three (1,351/4,013) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Wizards shot 33% from three (513/1,572) at home last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards shot 44% (3,233/7,370) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers allowed 58.4 points in the paint per game (4,788 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,876 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Pacers have allowed 11.5 made three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.3

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 16.7 second chance points per game (3,614 points/217 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.2

The Wizards averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,790 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Wizards have averaged 7.8 steals per game (413 steals/53 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Wizards have allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (929 points/53 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0