Miami Heat vs. Memphis Grizzlies odds, tips and betting trends | 2/21/2026
Data Skrive
Feb. 21, 2026, 3:31 a.m. ET
The Memphis Grizzlies (21-33) travel to face the Miami Heat (30-27) after losing four road games in a row. It tips at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 21, 2026.
The Heat are a 9.5-point favorite against the Grizzlies when the Heat and the Grizzlies meet. The over/under for the game is 238.5.
Heat vs. Grizzlies betting odds
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Saturday at 3:32 a.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Spread: Miami -9.5Total: 238.5Moneyline: Miami -412, Memphis +322Watch the NBA on Fubo!Grizzlies at Heat odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Grizzlies (+ 9.5)Pick OU: Under (238.5)Prediction: Heat 121 – Grizzlies 113MoneylineThe Heat have been favored on the moneyline 28 total times this season. They’ve gone 17-11 in those games.Miami has won all three games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -412 or shorter.The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Heat an 80.5% chance to win.The Grizzlies have been underdogs in 36 games this season and won nine (25%) of those contests.Memphis has not won as an underdog of +322 or more on the moneyline this season in seven games with those odds or longer.Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Grizzlies have a 23.7% chance to win.Against the spreadThe 119.7 points per game the Heat average are only 2.3 more points than the Grizzlies give up (117.4).Miami is 25-6 against the spread and 22-7 overall when scoring more than 117.4 points.When it scores more than 116.8 points, Memphis is 13-9 against the spread and 13-9 overall.Miami is 19-5-1 against the spread and 18-6 overall when it allows fewer than 115.4 points.The Heat are the NBA’s third-ranked scoring team (119.7 PPG), while the Grizzlies rank 21st in points per game allowed (117.4) in the league.Memphis is the NBA’s 15th-ranked offense (115.4 PPG), while Miami is the 20th-ranked defense (116.8).The Heat have scored a total of 166 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 2.9 per game), while the Grizzlies have been out-scored by opponents on average this year (by 108 total points, 2.0 per game).Over/UnderMiami has an average implied point total of 121.2 this year, which is 2.8 points lower than its implied total in Saturday’s game (124).This season, Miami has scored more than 124 points 22 times.The average implied point total on the season for Memphis (119.9) is 4.9 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (115).How to watch Heat vs. GrizzliesGame day: Saturday, February 21, 2026Game time: 8 p.m. ETLocation: Miami, FloridaArena: Kaseya CenterTV channel: FDSSUN, FDSSE, WPLGWatch the NBA on Fubo!
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