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The Memphis Grizzlies (21-33) will try to halt a four-game road losing skid at the Miami Heat (30-27) on February 21, 2026. Miami is a strong 10-point favorite against Memphis when the Heat play the Grizzlies on Saturday. A 238.5-point total has been set for the game.

Here’s everything you need to know to know about the Heat-Grizzlies game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Grizzlies Game Information, TV Channel & OddsWhen: Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 8 p.m. ETWhere: Kaseya Center in Miami, FloridaTV: FDSSUN, FDSSE, and WPLGLive Boxscore: FOX Sports Heat vs Grizzlies Betting Information Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Heat -10 -110 -110 238.5 -110 -110 -429 +340

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Heat vs. Grizzlies Prediction

ATS Pick: Grizzlies (+ 10)
O/U Pick: Under (238.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 121 – Grizzlies 113

Heat vs. Grizzlies Betting Insights This year, the Heat games have gone over 238.5 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under, 26 (out of 57) times.This season, 18 of the Grizzlies’ 54 games have had a combined total of more than 238.5 points scored.The two teams average a combined 3.4 fewer points per game (235.1) than this matchup’s over/under of 238.5 points.Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 234.2 points per game, 4.3 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.Miami has been chosen as the favorite in 28 games this year and has walked away with the win 17 times (60.7%) in those games.Memphis has been an underdog in 36 games this season and has come away with the win nine times (25%) in those contests.Miami has won its one head-to-head meeting with Memphis.The Heat also have a 1-0 record against the spread when playing the Grizzlies.The Grizzlies have been the favorite in one of their previous four games, and covered the spread in all four.Heat Recent TrendsThe Heat have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall in their last 10 games.Miami and its opponents have combined to score an average of 235.2 points in its last 10 games, 3.3 less than the 238.5 over/under in this matchup.Against the spread, the Heat are 33-23-1 this season.This season, Miami has won ATS in each of its two games as a favorite of 10 points or more. Heat games this year have eclipsed the over/under 29 times in 54 opportunities (53.7%).The Heat put up 119.7 points per game, only 2.3 more points than the 117.4 the Grizzlies give up.Miami has a 25-6 record against the spread and a 22-7 record overall when scoring more than 117.4 points.This season, the Heat have a 46.3% shooting percentage from the field, which is 0.6% lower than the 46.9% of shots the Grizzlies’ opponents have knocked down.The Heat have done a better job covering the spread in away games (19-10-1) than they have at home (14-13-0).Miami has exceeded the total in 14 of 27 home games (51.9%), compared to 15 of 30 road games (50%).As a moneyline favorite, the Heat have won a lower percentage of their home games (.550) compared to away games (.750).Heat Recent Stats Stat Average Rank Points Scored 119.7 3 Points Allowed 116.8 20 Rebounds 47.1 2 Assists 28.6 7 Steals 9.1 6 Blocks 4.2 24 Heat LeadersBam Adebayo posts 18.4 points, 2.8 assists and 9.9 boards per game.Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 15.1 points, 4.7 assists and 5.4 rebounds per game.Norman Powell puts up 22.8 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocks.Andrew Wiggins puts up 15.9 points, 5.0 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game, shooting 47.0% from the field and 39.8% from beyond the arc with 2.0 made 3-pointers per contest.Kel’el Ware averages 11.4 points, 0.6 assists and 9.3 boards.Heat Player Props Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG Andrew Wiggins 15.5 -122 15.9 Grizzlies Recent TrendsThe Grizzlies are 6-4 against the spread and 3-7 overall over their last 10 games.Memphis’ average total over the last 10 games is 7.0 points fewer than the 238.5 total listed for this matchup.In the Grizzlies’ 54 games this season, they have 25 wins against the spread.Memphis has been underdogs by 10 points or more seven times this year and are 3-4 ATS in those games.Grizzlies games this year have eclipsed the over/under 46.3% of the time (25 out of 54 games with a set point total).The Grizzlies’ 115.4 points per game are just 1.4 fewer points than the 116.8 the Heat give up to opponents.Memphis is 13-9 against the spread and 13-9 overall when it scores more than 116.8 points.The Grizzlies have shot at a 45.9% rate from the field this season, 0.2 percentage points greater than the 45.7% shooting opponents of the Heat have averaged.In 2025-26 against the spread, the Grizzlies have a lower winning percentage at home (.444, 12-15-0 record) than on the road (.481, 13-13-1).In 2025-26, a higher percentage of Memphis’ games have finished above the over/under at home (51.9%, 14 of 27) compared to on the road (40.7%, 11 of 27).The Grizzlies, as moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (8-5) than away (4-1) this season.Grizzlies Recent Stats Stat Average Rank Points Scored 115.4 15 Points Allowed 117.4 21 Rebounds 45 9 Assists 28.7 6 Steals 8.4 15 Blocks 5 12 Grizzlies LeadersCam Spencer generates 11.6 points, 2.7 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game for the Grizzlies.The Grizzlies are getting 12.1 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game from Jaylen Wells this year.Walter Clayton Jr. is averaging 6.9 points, 2.0 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game. He is draining 40.0% of his shots from the floor and 29.8% from 3-point range, with 1.0 treys per game.The Grizzlies are receiving 9.3 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game from GG Jackson this year.Taylor Hendricks is averaging 5.5 points, 3.3 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game. He is sinking 43.6% of his shots from the field.Grizzlies Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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