Kings vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props

Spurs vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Spurs.

Spurs vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Kings Best Bets for Tonight:

The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.50 Units / 20% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games (+7.55 Units / 18% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1Q Spread in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.00 Units / 25% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.44 Units / 13% ROI)

Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:

The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 45 games (+14.75 Units / 28% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+13.80 Units / 16% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.25 Units / 23% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 40% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.90 Units / 37% ROI)

Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 21-36 (-18.6 Units / -29.67% ROI).

12-45 against the Moneyline (-12.5 Units / -20.34% ROI)

27-30 against the Over for game total points (-6 Units / -9.57% ROI)

30-27 against the Under for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.48% ROI)

San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 32-23 (+6.7 Units / 11.07% ROI).

39-16 against the Moneyline (+16.95 Units / 11.31% ROI)

22-33 against the Over for game total points (-14.3 Units / -23.64% ROI)

33-22 against the Under for game total points (+8.8 Units / 14.55% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:

The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 games (-17.90 Units / -39% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-17.20 Units / -29% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 30 games (-16.20 Units / -49% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 30 games (-15.55 Units / -44% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.75 Units / -30% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:

The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 40 away games (-22.05 Units / -42% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 games (-19.90 Units / -39% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.25 Units / -33% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.50 Units / -32% ROI)

The Sacramento Kings have only covered the Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.20 Units / -31% ROI)

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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Kings are winless (0-6) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Kings are 4-21 (.160) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .525

The Kings are 4-23 (.148) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Kings are 3-23 (.115) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .396

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Spurs are undefeated (15-0) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .698

The Spurs are 15-1 (.938) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs were 9-38 (.191) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have made 10.3 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Kings have averaged 1.24 points per shot (6,262 points/5,045 shots) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Kings are shooting 34% from three (588/1,722) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Kings have averaged 109.9 points per game (6,262 points/57 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.5

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 16.5 fast break points per game (909 points/55 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2

The Spurs have averaged 1.32 points per shot (6,500 points/4,909 shots) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Spurs are shooting 48% (2,344/4,909) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Spurs have averaged 61.3 points per game (3,370 points/55 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.1

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,864 rebounds/57 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Kings have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (253 blocks/57 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings allowed 10.6 second chance points per game (436 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,059 rebounds/55 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Spurs averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,932 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs have allowed 12.3 fast break points per game (676 points/55 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.2

The Spurs have allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (6,151 points/4,989 shots) this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.29