The Trail Blazers are -3.5 favorites vs. the Suns
Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
Watch the game on KUNP | KTVK | AZFS
The Portland Trail Blazers visit Mortgage Matchup Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Phoenix, AZ.
The Trail Blazers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Trail Blazers vs Suns Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 30-27 against the spread, while the Suns are 35-21 against the spread.
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Trail Blazers vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylinePortland Trail Blazers-3.5 -110O 223.5 -115-170Phoenix Suns +3.5 -110U 223.5 -105+140
Suns vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Sunday‘s game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Suns.
Suns vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 54.3% confidence.
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Trail Blazers Best Bets for Tonight:
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 away games (+13.30 Units / 32% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 away games (+12.86 Units / 27% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.65 Units / 53% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in their last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 88% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+9.30 Units / 39% ROI)
Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+15.10 Units / 21% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.75 Units / 24% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+12.40 Units / 24% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have covered the Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.20 Units / 20% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.45 Units / 30% ROI)
Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 30-27 (+0.3 Units / 0.48% ROI).
27-30 against the Moneyline (+3.65 Units / 4.62% ROI)
31-26 against the Over for game total points (+2.4 Units / 3.83% ROI)
26-31 against the Under for game total points (-8.1 Units / -12.92% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 35-21 (+11.9 Units / 18.98% ROI).
33-24 against the Moneyline (+13.1 Units / 13.73% ROI)
25-32 against the Over for game total points (-10.2 Units / -16.27% ROI)
32-25 against the Under for game total points (+4.5 Units / 7.18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.85 Units / -37% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 22 games (-18.95 Units / -66% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.30 Units / -30% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 5 of their last 22 games (-15.10 Units / -58% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.95 Units / -30% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers:
The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 50 games (-21.65 Units / -38% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 50 games (-16.25 Units / -25% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.10 Units / -28% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 50 games (-14.35 Units / -24% ROI)
The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 17 games (-12.40 Units / -65% ROI)
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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Trail Blazers were 1-11 (.083) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424
The Trail Blazers were 14-33 (.298) when scoring 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Trail Blazers were 2-18 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317
The Trail Blazers are 4-15 (.211) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .416
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers
The Suns are 13-3 (.812) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .698
The Suns were 6-19 (.240) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .373
The Suns were 12-22 (.353) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .443
The Suns are undefeated (10-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .787
Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (2,516 assists/ 1,776 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 50% in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
The Trail Blazers shot 44% (3,227/7,356) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Trail Blazers averaged 1.21 points per shot (4,307 points/3,549 shots) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have 20.3 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7
The Suns have averaged 20.6 points in the paint per game (1,172 points/57 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.1
The Suns averaged 5.9 fast break points per game (487 points/82 games) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Suns have a 20% free throw rate (527 free throw attempts/2,605 field goal attempts) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%
Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (7,367 rebounds/221 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,739 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Trail Blazers allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (85/325) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 10.1 steals per game (573 steals/57 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Suns averaged 7.2 steals per game (593 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Suns have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,871 rebounds/57 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
The Suns have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (228 blocks/57 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
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