The Pistons are -1.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
Watch the game on PEAC | FDDT
The San Antonio Spurs visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Detroit, MI.
The Pistons are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-102).
The Spurs vs Pistons Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 32-24 against the spread, while the Pistons are 31-24 against the spread.
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Spurs vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineSan Antonio Spurs+1.5 -118O 230.5 -105-102Detroit Pistons -1.5 -102U 230.5 -115-118
Pistons vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Monday‘s game with 62.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Pistons.
Pistons vs Spurs Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:
The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 away games (+22.50 Units / 33% ROI)
The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+16.40 Units / 19% ROI)
The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 away games (+14.80 Units / 32% ROI)
The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 2Q Spread in 16 of their last 20 away games (+13.70 Units / 59% ROI)
The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.35 Units / 23% ROI)
Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 45 games (+19.20 Units / 19% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 30 games (+17.45 Units / 51% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games at home (+14.60 Units / 28% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 29 of their last 45 games (+12.85 Units / 25% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+12.75 Units / 19% ROI)
San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 32-24 (+5.6 Units / 9.09% ROI).
40-16 against the Moneyline (+17.95 Units / 10.89% ROI)
23-33 against the Over for game total points (-13.3 Units / -21.59% ROI)
33-23 against the Under for game total points (+7.7 Units / 12.5% ROI)
Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 31-24 (+4.6 Units / 7.6% ROI).
42-13 against the Moneyline (+12.45 Units / 8.19% ROI)
24-31 against the Over for game total points (-10.1 Units / -16.69% ROI)
31-24 against the Under for game total points (+4.6 Units / 7.6% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 30 games (-21.65 Units / -62% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 20 of their last 45 games (-19.57 Units / -24% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.95 Units / -29% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-15.30 Units / -26% ROI)
The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 35 games at home (-13.75 Units / -22% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:
The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.20 Units / -33% ROI)
The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 away games (-16.25 Units / -35% ROI)
The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-15.90 Units / -32% ROI)
The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 away games (-15.45 Units / -34% ROI)
The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 away games (-13.95 Units / -30% ROI)
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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons
The Spurs are undefeated (15-0) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .698
The Spurs are 14-1 (.933) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .642
The Spurs are 16-1 (.941) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585
The Spurs were 2-24 (.077) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353
Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs
The Pistons are 4-1 (.800) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .415
The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
The Pistons were 2-38 (.050) when losing the rebounding margin in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357
San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have 25.4 free throw attempts per game this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.6
The Spurs have averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (771 turnovers/56 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6
The Spurs had an eFG% of 53% in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
The Spurs shot 46% (3,438/7,437) in the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 30.7 points in the paint per game (1,690 points/55 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2
The Pistons averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (850 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Pistons have averaged 57.1 points in the paint per game (3,140 points/55 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.5
The Pistons have averaged 58.1 points in the paint per game (1,570 points/27 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.3
San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have averaged 37.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,098 rebounds/56 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
The Spurs averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,932 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Spurs blocked 520 shots in the 2023-24 season — 3rd most among NBA teams
The Spurs have averaged 7.7 steals per game (429 steals/56 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 10.6 steals per game (585 steals/55 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Pistons have forced 17.4 turnovers per game (956 turnovers/55 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.6
The Pistons have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (346 blocks/55 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Pistons have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (2,053/4,649) this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
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