The Raptors are -1.5 favorites vs. the Thunder

Total (Over/Under): 217.5 points

Watch the game on FDOK | TSN

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Toronto, ON.

The Raptors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Thunder vs Raptors Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 29-29 against the spread, while the Raptors are 29-27 against the spread.

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Thunder vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineOklahoma City Thunder+1.5 -115O 217.5 -115-102Toronto Raptors -1.5 -105U 217.5 -105-118

Raptors vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Raptors will win Tuesday‘s game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Raptors.

Raptors vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 55.4% confidence.

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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:

The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 away games (+8.45 Units / 21% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+8.05 Units / 18% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 away games (+7.20 Units / 22% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)

Raptors Best Bets for Tonight:

The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 50 games (+20.15 Units / 36% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+17.64 Units / 31% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 36% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.20 Units / 10% ROI)

Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 29-29 (-2.9 Units / -4.55% ROI).

44-14 against the Moneyline (-13.7 Units / -3.71% ROI)

31-27 against the Over for game total points (+1.3 Units / 2.04% ROI)

27-31 against the Under for game total points (-7.1 Units / -11.13% ROI)

Toronto Raptors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 29-27 (-0.7 Units / -1.12% ROI).

34-23 against the Moneyline (+10.2 Units / 9.66% ROI)

22-35 against the Over for game total points (-16.5 Units / -26.32% ROI)

35-22 against the Under for game total points (+10.8 Units / 17.22% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Raptors:

The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 50 games (-28.15 Units / -48% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 50 games (-25.28 Units / -44% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.20 Units / -31% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.80 Units / -29% ROI)

The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 35 games (-13.85 Units / -30% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:

The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (-34.05 Units / -18% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 games (-23.40 Units / -29% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 away games (-21.75 Units / -30% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games (-20.45 Units / -23% ROI)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 away games (-14.60 Units / -25% ROI)

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Thunder are 24-7 (.774) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

The Thunder are 74-8 (.902) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .640

The Thunder are 90-14 (.865) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596

The Thunder are 34-9 (.791) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .494

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Raptors are 2-47 (.041) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .158

The Raptors are 20-9 (.690) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .528

The Raptors are 1-15 (.062) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .213

The Raptors were 13-22 (.371) when scoring 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (144 assists/ 62 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors shot 33% from three (435/1,318) at home in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Raptors averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (847 points/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

The Raptors have averaged 9.6 fast break points per game (545 points/57 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Raptors have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,670 assists/ 793 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder averaged 10.3 steals per game (847 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have averaged 10.9 steals per game (796 steals/73 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder allowed opponents to shoot 44% (3,109/7,130) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (734 blocks/114 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,943 rebounds/57 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Raptors have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,559 rebounds/221 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors averaged 4.2 blocks per game (348 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Raptors averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,847 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

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