The Rockets are -13.5 favorites vs. the Kings
Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
Watch the game on SCHN | NSCA
The Sacramento Kings visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Houston, TX.
The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).
The Kings vs Rockets Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Kings are 23-36 against the spread, while the Rockets are 25-31 against the spread.
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Kings vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineSacramento Kings+13.5 -105O 222.5 -110+600Houston Rockets -13.5 -115U 222.5 -110-900
Rockets vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Rockets.
Rockets vs Kings Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.25 Units / 34% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games (+7.15 Units / 15% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.05 Units / 18% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.90 Units / 57% ROI)
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
The Houston Rockets have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 25 games (+18.63 Units / 65% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.60 Units / 31% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.20 Units / 26% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.20 Units / 43% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.25 Units / 36% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 23-36 (-16.6 Units / -25.58% ROI).
13-46 against the Moneyline (-12.3 Units / -19.39% ROI)
29-30 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -6.16% ROI)
30-29 against the Under for game total points (-1.9 Units / -2.93% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 25-31 (-9.05 Units / -14.7% ROI).
35-21 against the Moneyline (-20.45 Units / -10.35% ROI)
23-33 against the Over for game total points (-13.27 Units / -21.55% ROI)
33-23 against the Under for game total points (+7.7 Units / 12.49% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 games (-29.85 Units / -24% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (-26.00 Units / -19% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 25 games (-22.35 Units / -77% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 games (-20.40 Units / -38% ROI)
The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 45 games (-20.07 Units / -41% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 40 away games (-24.30 Units / -46% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 50 games (-17.70 Units / -34% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-17.05 Units / -29% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.45 Units / -29% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only covered the Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.10 Units / -27% ROI)
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Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Kings are winless (0-6) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .589
The Kings are 5-21 (.192) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .530
The Kings are 8-27 (.229) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447
The Kings are 9-27 (.250) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .470
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Rockets are 4-1 (.800) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .411
The Rockets are 14-1 (.933) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561
The Rockets are 20-4 (.833) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .563
The Rockets are 33-21 (.611) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .494
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have made 10.3 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3
The Kings have an eFG% of 52% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Kings have an eFG% of 50% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Kings are shooting 34% from three (607/1,783) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 22.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,281 rebounds/56 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 18.0
The Rockets have averaged 20.9 offensive rebounds per game (4,592 rebounds/220 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Rockets had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Rockets shot 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings have allowed an average of 1.49 points per shot (815 points/546 shots) in close and late situations this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32
The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1
The Kings allowed 10.6 second chance points per game (436 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,957 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Rockets have averaged 8.9 steals per game (498 steals/56 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5
The Rockets have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,992 rebounds/56 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
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