The Hawks are -10.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
Watch the game on MNMT | FDSE
The Washington Wizards visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Atlanta, GA.
The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).
The Wizards vs Hawks Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 24-33 against the spread, while the Hawks are 29-31 against the spread.
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Wizards vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineWashington Wizards+10.5 -115O 234.5 -115+400Atlanta Hawks -10.5 -105U 234.5 -105-550
Hawks vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Hawks.
Hawks vs Wizards Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Wizards Best Bets for Tonight:
The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 35 games (+12.10 Units / 34% ROI)
The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 35 away games (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)
The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+7.90 Units / 30% ROI)
The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 away games (+7.75 Units / 29% ROI)
The Washington Wizards have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 22 away games (+7.44 Units / 34% ROI)
Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:
The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.35 Units / 28% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+8.50 Units / 13% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.65 Units / 20% ROI)
Washington Wizards Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 24-33 (-12.25 Units / -19.55% ROI).
16-41 against the Moneyline (+3.6 Units / 6.17% ROI)
30-27 against the Over for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.48% ROI)
27-30 against the Under for game total points (-6 Units / -9.57% ROI)
Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 29-31 (-5.05 Units / -7.66% ROI).
29-31 against the Moneyline (-4.55 Units / -4.63% ROI)
29-31 against the Over for game total points (-5.1 Units / -7.73% ROI)
31-29 against the Under for game total points (-0.9 Units / -1.36% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:
The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 35 games at home (-16.35 Units / -41% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 games (-13.90 Units / -28% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.85 Units / -30% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 23 games at home (-13.30 Units / -51% ROI)
The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 30 games at home (-11.25 Units / -32% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Wizards:
The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 40 games (-14.30 Units / -35% ROI)
The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 away games (-13.90 Units / -30% ROI)
The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games (-13.55 Units / -26% ROI)
The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 away games (-13.50 Units / -30% ROI)
The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 40 away games (-11.75 Units / -26% ROI)
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Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks
The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
The Wizards are 23-111 (.172) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453
The Wizards are 1-5 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .590
The Wizards are 19-88 (.178) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards
The Hawks were 2-20 (.091) when their eFG is 50% or worse in the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .178
The Hawks were 10-17 (.370) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446
The Hawks were 10-28 (.263) when losing the rebounding margin in the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357
The Hawks were 1-6 (.143) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .373
Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Wizards averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8
The Wizards averaged 17.6 fast break points per game (1,442 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
The Wizards are shooting 34% from three (1,386/4,121) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks are shooting 46% from three (120/264) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%
The Hawks have an eFG% of 59% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Hawks have averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (626 points/60 games) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Hawks averaged 5.3 assists per game (336 assists/63 games) in close and late situations last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.2
Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6
The Wizards have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,948 rebounds/57 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0
The Wizards allowed 16.4 second chance points per game (1,345 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Wizards have allowed 16.6 second chance points per game (3,673 points/221 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.2
Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks averaged 35.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,868 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Hawks have 559 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams
The Hawks have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (527 blocks/115 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
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