The Houston Rockets (37-21) will attempt to continue a three-game winning streak when they visit the Miami Heat (31-29) on Saturday, February 28, 2026 at Kaseya Center as 3.5-point favorites. The contest airs at 3:30 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video and SCHN.

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Rockets vs. Heat Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projection model for this contest predicts a final result of Rockets 116, Heat 115.

Moneyline Pick: Rockets (-168)
Total Pick: Over 225.5 (computer predicts 230.5 points)
Pick ATS: Heat (+3.5)
Recent Rockets vs. Heat Matchups

Rockets 2025-26 Betting Trends

So far this season, Houston has put together a 27-31-0 record against the spread.
The Rockets have a 17-26 record against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
The teams have hit the over in 25 of Houston’s 60 games with a set total.
This season, the Rockets have won 34 out of the 52 games, or 65.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
Houston has a record of 28-14, a 66.7% win rate, when it’s favored by -168 or more by bookmakers this season.
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends

So far this year, Miami has compiled a 34-25-1 record against the spread.
The Heat are 13-7-1 against the spread when an underdog by 3.5 points or more this year.
Miami has hit the over in 31 of its 60 games with a set total (51.7%).
The Heat have won 13 of the 30 games they were the moneyline underdog this season (43.3%).
Miami has gone 5-12 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +141 or longer (29.4%).

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Rockets vs. Heat Injury Report

Rockets

Rockets:

Fred VanVleet: Out For Season (Acl),

Steven Adams: Out For Season (Ankle),

Jae’Sean Tate: Out (Knee),

Jabari Smith: Out (Ankle)

Heat

Heat:

Nikola Jovic: Day-To-Day (Back),

Norman Powell: Out (Groin)

Rockets vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel

Game day: Saturday, February 28, 2026
Game time: 3:30 p.m. ET
TV channel: Amazon Prime Video and SCHN
Location: Miami, Florida
Arena: Kaseya Center

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