Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors odds, tips and betting trends | 3/7/2026
Data Skrive
March 6, 2026, 7:30 p.m. ET
The Oklahoma City Thunder (49-15) will host the Golden State Warriors (32-30) after victories in three home games in a row. It begins at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 7, 2026.
The Thunder enter their game against the Warriors as heavy favorites. The Thunder are favored by 15.5 points. The point total for the matchup is 219.5.
Thunder vs. Warriors betting odds
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 7:30 p.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Spread: Oklahoma City -15.5Total: 219.5Moneyline: Oklahoma City -752, Golden State +525Watch this game on Fubo!Warriors at Thunder odds, spread, & morePredictionPick ATS: Warriors (+ 15.5)Pick OU: Over (219.5)Prediction: Thunder 120 – Warriors 108MoneylineThe Thunder have gone 47-13 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 78.3% of those games).Oklahoma City has a record of 19-2 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -752 or shorter (winning 90.5%).Based on this game’s moneyline, the Thunder have an implied win probability of 88.3%.This season, the Warriors have been the underdog 21 times and won eight, or 38.1%, of those games.Golden State has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +525.The moneyline for this contest implies a 16.0% chance of a victory for the Warriors.Against the spreadThe Thunder average 118.9 points per game, only 4.8 more points than the 114.1 the Warriors give up.Oklahoma City has a 28-13 record against the spread and a 38-3 record overall when putting up more than 114.1 points.Golden State has put together a 24-21 ATS record and a 28-17 overall record in games it scores more than 107.8 points.Oklahoma City’s record is 30-18 against the spread and 42-6 overall when it gives up fewer than 115.3 points.The Thunder are at the fifth spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (118.9 PPG), while the Warriors allow the 11th-fewest points per game (114.1) in the league.The 16th-ranked scoring NBA team (115.3 PPG) is Golden State, while the Oklahoma City squad ranks second in the league defensively (107.8 PPG).The Thunder have put up a total of 711 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 11.1 per game), and the Warriors have out-scored opponents by 79 points on the season (1.2 more per game).Over/UnderOklahoma City has an average implied point total of 119.8 this season, which is 1.8 points higher than its implied total in Saturday’s game (118).So far this season, Oklahoma City has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (118) 36 times.The average implied point total on the season for Golden State (117.7) is 15.7 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (102).How to watch Thunder vs. WarriorsGame day: Saturday, March 7, 2026Game time: 8:30 p.m. ETLocation: Oklahoma City, OklahomaArena: Paycom CenterTV channel: ABCLive stream: Watch this game on FuboWatch this game on Fubo!
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