Pacers vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props

Trail Blazers vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Trail Blazers will win Sunday‘s game with 78.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Trail Blazers.

Trail Blazers vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 68.6% confidence.

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Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:

The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 50 away games (+11.20 Units / 19% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.40 Units / 45% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.30 Units / 23% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 away games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)

Trail Blazers Best Bets for Tonight:

The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.90 Units / 34% ROI)

The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+11.25 Units / 30% ROI)

The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)

The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+8.90 Units / 37% ROI)

The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.80 Units / 66% ROI)

Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 28-35 (-10.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

15-48 against the Moneyline (-23.6 Units / -32.82% ROI)

29-34 against the Over for game total points (-8.4 Units / -12.12% ROI)

34-29 against the Under for game total points (+2.1 Units / 3.03% ROI)

Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 33-31 (-1.1 Units / -1.56% ROI).

30-34 against the Moneyline (+2.65 Units / 2.95% ROI)

34-30 against the Over for game total points (+1 Units / 1.42% ROI)

30-34 against the Under for game total points (-7.4 Units / -10.51% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers:

The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-16.15 Units / -28% ROI)

The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.25 Units / -34% ROI)

The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 21 games (-13.50 Units / -55% ROI)

The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 30 games at home (-12.75 Units / -37% ROI)

The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.65 Units / -22% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:

The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 50 away games (-21.65 Units / -39% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 away games (-15.65 Units / -27% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 20 of their last 50 away games (-14.90 Units / -26% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 50 away games (-13.95 Units / -25% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 50 games (-13.55 Units / -24% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Pacers are 4-23 (.148) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Pacers are winless (0-22) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .217

The Pacers are 4-25 (.138) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .397

The Pacers are 1-12 (.077) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .352

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Trail Blazers were 2-18 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Trail Blazers are undefeated (9-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .785

The Trail Blazers are 5-22 (.185) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .449

The Trail Blazers are 2-47 (.041) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .157

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Pacers had a TS% of 54% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 50% in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers averaged 104.7 points per game (4,292 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 9.2 second chance points per game (592 points/64 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,579 assists/ 1,104 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (7,811 rebounds/227 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have allowed 11.7 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.2

The Pacers allowed 10.7 made three-pointers per game in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.8

The Pacers have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (1,225 blocks/227 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (7,589 rebounds/228 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,182 rebounds/64 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,739 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3