The Miami Heat (37-29) are favored (-5.5) to extend a six-game win streak when they host the Milwaukee Bucks (27-37) at 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 12, 2026 at Kaseya Center. The matchup airs on FDSSUN, FDSWI, and WMLW.

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Heat vs. Bucks Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this game calls for a final result of Heat 122, Bucks 110.

Moneyline Pick: Heat (-258)
Total Pick: Over 229.5 (computer predicts 232.2 points)
Pick ATS: Heat (-5.5)
Recent Heat vs. Bucks Matchups

Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends

Miami has gone 40-25-1 ATS this season.
In games this season they were favored by 5.5 points or more, the Heat have a 14-9 record against the spread.
In Miami’s 64 games with a set total, 34 have hit the over (53.1%).
This season, the Heat have won 21 out of the 33 games, or 63.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
This season, Miami has won 12 of its 13 games, or 92.3%, when favored by at least -258 on the moneyline.
Bucks 2025-26 Betting Trends

Milwaukee is 28-36-0 ATS this season.
When they have played as at least 5.5-point underdogs this year, the Bucks are 8-12 against the spread.
The teams have combined to hit the over in 28 of Milwaukee’s 64 games with a set total.
The Bucks have been the moneyline underdog 40 total times this season. They’ve finished 16-24 in those games.
In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +210 or longer, Milwaukee has a record of 3-11 (21.4%).

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Heat vs. Bucks Injury Report

Heat

Heat:

Norman Powell: Out (Groin),

Nikola Jovic: Day-To-Day (Back),

Kel’el Ware: Questionable (Shoulder),

Andrew Wiggins: Out (Toe),

Tyler Herro: Questionable (Quadricep)

Bucks

Bucks:

Bobby Portis: Day-To-Day (Back),

Jericho Sims: Day-To-Day (Knee),

Kevin Porter Jr.: Questionable (Knee)

Heat vs. Bucks Game Time and TV Channel

Game day: Thursday, March 12, 2026
Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV channel: FDSSUN, FDSWI, and WMLW
Location: Miami, Florida
Arena: Kaseya Center

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