March 14, 2026, 7:54 a.m. ET

The Milwaukee Bucks (27-38) and Atlanta Hawks (35-31) meet Saturday at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia, at 3 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Bucks vs. Hawks and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

In the most recent matchup between these teams, the Hawks claimed a 131-113 road win, covering as 1-point underdogs March 4. G Nickeil Alexander-Walker led Atlanta with 23 points as the Over (232.5) cashed.

The Bucks are coming off a 112-105 loss as 5.5-point underdogs at the Miami Heat Thursday for a third consecutive setback and their seventh loss in the last 8 games. F Giannis Antetokounmpo scored a game-high 31 points with the Under (233.5) cashing.

The Hawks earned a 108-97 home win over the Brooklyn Nets Thursday for an eighth straight victory. However, they failed to cover as 15.5-point favorites and the Under (226.5) hit. F Jalen Johnson led the way with 21 points, 9 rebounds and 9 assists.

Watch the NBA on Fubo!Bucks at Hawks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:53 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Bucks +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Hawks -325 (bet $325 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Bucks +8.5 (-110) | Hawks -8.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Bucks at Hawks key injuries

Bucks

F Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) questionableF Ousmane Dieng (illness) questionableG Kevin Porter Jr. (knee) questionable

Hawks

G Jonathan Kuminga (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Bucks at Hawks picks and predictionsPrediction

Hawks 122, Bucks 112

AVOID

The Bucks (+260) are running cold, losers of 7 of their last 8 games. Meanwhile, the Hawks (-325) are riding an 8-game winning streak. Although the Hawks are the better team and are at home, I can’t suggest backing such a big favorite on the moneyline.

BET HAWKS -8.5 (-110).

Atlanta has covered the spread in 7 of its last 8 wins, and Milwaukee is 1-7 ATS over its last 8 games. Just 10 nights ago, the Hawks beat the Bucks with ease by 18 points. Look for the same sort of outcome Saturday afternoon.

BET OVER 230.5 (-110).

These teams hit the Over during their last matchup, and both teams have hit the Over in 3 of their last 5 games. The Hawks rank seventh in the NBA in points per game with a 117.7 average. Defensively, they allow the 10th most points, yielding 116.9 PPG.

The Bucks are 14th defensively (115.9 PPG), but be warned: They are 28th on offense (111.0 PPG).

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