The Spurs are -19.5 favorites vs. the Pacers

Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points

Watch the game on FDIN | FDSW

The Indiana Pacers visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in San Antonio, TX.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-105).

The Pacers vs Spurs Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 30-40 against the spread, while the Spurs are 40-30 against the spread.

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Pacers vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineIndiana Pacers+19.5 -115O 233.5 -110+1150San Antonio Spurs -19.5 -105U 233.5 -110-2500

Spurs vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Spurs.

Spurs vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:

The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.20 Units / 18% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.85 Units / 17% ROI)

Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:

The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 50 games (+19.40 Units / 12% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.35 Units / 23% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.95 Units / 25% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+12.50 Units / 25% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+12.35 Units / 15% ROI)

Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 30-40 (-14 Units / -18.18% ROI).

15-55 against the Moneyline (-30.6 Units / -38.78% ROI)

34-36 against the Over for game total points (-5.6 Units / -7.27% ROI)

36-34 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -1.82% ROI)

San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 40-30 (+7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

52-18 against the Moneyline (+27.35 Units / 13.34% ROI)

29-40 against the Over for game total points (-15 Units / -19.48% ROI)

40-29 against the Under for game total points (+8.1 Units / 10.52% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:

The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 games (-19.40 Units / -37% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 45 games (-16.90 Units / -34% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.72 Units / -30% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 30 games (-12.65 Units / -37% ROI)

The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 21 games (-10.80 Units / -46% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:

The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 50 games (-19.80 Units / -36% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 away games (-19.15 Units / -33% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have only covered the Spread in 12 of their last 40 away games (-18.80 Units / -43% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 away games (-18.00 Units / -35% ROI)

The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.45 Units / -31% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Pacers are 4-24 (.143) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

The Pacers are 4-19 (.174) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .537

The Pacers are 1-16 (.059) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .362

The Pacers are 4-29 (.121) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .398

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Spurs are 11-2 (.846) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .403

The Spurs are 22-2 (.917) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .638

The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs were 2-24 (.077) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 61.6 points per game (4,315 points/70 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.0

The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,925 assists/ 948 TOs) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Spurs shot 34% from three (519/1,511) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs have averaged 118.8 points per game (8,314 points/70 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.3

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 7.4 steals per game (517 steals/70 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pacers averaged 5.5 blocks per game (448 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pacers have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (8,041 rebounds/234 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pacers allowed 10.7 made three-pointers per game in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.8

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,645 rebounds/70 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Spurs have blocked 380 shots this season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Spurs have averaged 7.5 steals per game (527 steals/70 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Spurs have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (380 blocks/70 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

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