March 21, 2026, 12:31 p.m. ET

The Milwaukee Bucks (28-41) will face the Phoenix Suns (39-31) on Saturday at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Arizona. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze NBA odds around the Bucks vs. Suns odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Suns lead 1-0; Phoenix defeated Milwaukee 129-114 to cover as 2-point road favorites and hit the Over (219.5) on March 10. G Devin Booker led the Suns with 27 points and 7 assists, helping overcome a season-high 33 points from Bucks F Kyle Kuzma.

The Bucks are 2-8 across their last 10 games, covering the spread in only three of those contests. Milwaukee lost 128-96 at Utah on Thursday, falling as 5.5-point favorites with the Under (227.5) hitting.

Despite going 5-5 outright and 6-4 against the spread (ATS) over their last 10 games — and stuck in a four-game losing streak — the Suns still find themselves in the No. 7 slot in the Western Conference. Phoenix returns home following a 101-100 loss to the San Antonio Spurs, where they covered as 9.5-point road favorites and the Under (227.5) hit.

Watch the NBA on Fubo!Bucks at Suns odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 12:20 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Bucks +450 (bet $100 to win $450) | Suns -625 (bet $625 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Bucks +11.5 (-110) | Suns -11.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)Bucks at Suns key injuries

Bucks

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) outSG Gary Harris (groin) questionablePG Kevin Porter Jr. (knee) questionable

Suns

SG Grayson Allen (knee) questionableSF Dillon Brooks (hand) outSF Amir Coffey (ankle) outSF Haywood Highsmith (knee) outPF Royce O’Neale (knee) doubtfulC Mark Williams (foot) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Bucks at Suns picks and predictionsPrediction

Suns 118, Bucks 104

SKIP.

The Bucks are even tougher to trust without PF Giannis Antetokounmpo on the floor, and the Suns are not worth backing at these odds.

BET SUNS -11.5 (-110).

This is a decent-sized spread, but it’s warranted given how these teams have performed this season. The Suns have done a fantastic job covering as favorites, going 21-12 ATS in those instances.

Additionally, Phoenix has the eighth-best record ATS (20-15) when playing in front of their home fans. Meanwhile, Milwaukee is tied for the sixth-worst record ATS (14-20) when on the road.

BET OVER 219.5 (-115).

Besides this being a lower total to achieve, the Suns can take care of most of the scoring themselves. At the moment, the Bucks are 25th in adjusted defensive rating (117.6), 24th in effective field-goal percentage allowed (55.3%), and 27th in 3-point percentage allowed (37.0%).

On top of Phoenix chucking up threes at the sixth-highest rate (45.4%), they are ninth in 3-point percentage (36.2%). The Over is 3-1 in the last four head-to-head meetings, and the Suns are 4-2 to the Over in their last six games.

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