The Miami Heat (38-33) are 5.5-point underdogs as they attempt to turn around a four-game losing streak when they host the San Antonio Spurs (53-18) on Monday, March 23, 2026 at Kaseya Center. The matchup airs at 7 p.m. ET on Peacock and FDSSW.

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Spurs vs. Heat Predictions for Monday

Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final result of Spurs 119, Heat 116.

Moneyline Pick: Spurs (-218)
Total Pick: Under 240.5 (computer predicts 234.1 points)
Pick ATS: Heat (+5.5)
Recent Spurs vs. Heat Matchups

Spurs 2025-26 Betting Trends

San Antonio has a 38-31-2 record against the spread this season.
The Spurs are 19-15-2 against the spread when favored by 5.5 points or more this season.
San Antonio’s games have hit the over in 30 out of 71 opportunities (42.3%).
The Spurs have entered the game as favorites 53 times this season and won 41, or 77.4%, of those games.
This season, San Antonio has won 29 of its 34 games, or 85.3%, when favored by at least -218 on the moneyline.
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends

Miami is 42-28-1 against the spread this season.
The Heat have a 9-5-1 record against the spread when an underdog by 5.5 points or more this season.
A total of 38 of Miami’s 71 games with a set total have hit the over (53.5%).
The Heat have been the moneyline underdog 35 total times this season. They’ve finished 16-19 in those games.
Miami has gone 4-9 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +180 or longer (30.8%).

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Spurs vs. Heat Injury Report

Spurs

Spurs:

David Jones: Out For Season (Ankle),

Stephon Castle: Questionable (Hip),

Devin Vassell: Questionable (Hamstring)

Heat

Heat:

Norman Powell: Questionable (Calf),

Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Probable (Hip),

Andrew Wiggins: Probable (Toe)

Spurs vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel

Game day: Monday, March 23, 2026
Game time: 7 p.m. ET
TV channel: Peacock and FDSSW
Location: Miami, Florida
Arena: Kaseya Center

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