Tom Oldfield
• Betting Analyst
22+ years betting experience
Updated:
Mar 28, 2026 , 09:00 AM ET
• 4 min read
Oldfield’s Prediction: Victor Wembanyama and Co. dispatch Bucks in convincing fashion.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Victor Wembanyama of the San Antonio Spurs NBA
Powered by Victor Wembanyama, the San Antonio Spurs are still chasing the No.1 seed in the West, and today they’ll see a Milwaukee Bucks team that’s surely coming to the end of the road with its own unicorn superstar.
With Giannis Antetokounmpo in street clothes, Milwaukee is coming off a pair of ugly losses, and my Spurs vs. Bucks predictions expect San Antonio to cruise in this one, extending its seven-game win streak.
Get the lowdown on this March 28 matchup with my NBA picks and betting tips.
Spurs vs Bucks prediction
Spurs vs Bucks best bet: Spurs -19 (-110)
The Milwaukee Bucks are way too late to the tanking party, but that hasn’t stopped Doc Rivers’ men from losing their last two games by a combined 64 points. After those beatdowns, just about the last thing Milwaukee needs is a visit from a ruthless San Antonio Spurs squad.
The Spurs are 16-8-1 ATS in their last 25 contests, and I’m siding with Victor Wembanyama and Co. here despite the massive spread. San Antonio has been reliable on the road all year, posting a 26-11 SU mark, and the early Saturday tip should only be a minor obstacle.
The visitors’ last two victories have both come by 25 points, and they beat the Bucks 119-101 in January, before Giannis Antetokounmpo’s latest injury setbacks. In short, don’t expect any mercy this afternoon.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee has nowhere to turn for offense.
The Bucks are just 3-7 ATS in their past 10 outings, and the injury report doesn’t help their cause. Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, and Bobby Portis all missed Wednesday’s loss in Portland, and that could leave Milwaukee vulnerable in the frontcourt.
Ryan Rollins had a career-high 36 points earlier this week, but he’ll have a mountain to climb against Stephon Castle and Dylan Harper.
With one of the NBA’s deepest benches, the Spurs can pull away when their second unit is on the floor, and their offense sits third in the league in points per game (119.3). All the signs signal one-way traffic at Fiserv Forum.
Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account 
Spurs vs Bucks same-game parlay
The San Antonio starters may not log their usual minutes today, yet I still like Wemby and Stephon Castle to steal the show. Wembanyama has had back-to-back outings with 15 rebounds, and he won’t get much resistance on the glass against the depleted Bucks.
Castle continues to be one of the Spurs’ main engines, and he’s nailed this assists Over in four of his past five contests, including 12 dimes in Sacramento earlier this month. His lob connection with Wemby grows stronger every week.
Spurs vs Bucks SGP
Spurs moneyline
Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds
Stephon Castle Over 7.5 assists
Our “from downtown” SGP: Castle Hunts Bucks!
Castle is rarely far from the action, and this SGP embraces all the ways he impacts games. He had 19 points and 10 assists against the Bucks earlier this year, and he’s grabbed 7+ boards in five of his last seven outings.
Look for Castle’s nonstop effort to put San Antonio in control this afternoon.
Spurs vs Bucks SGP
Stephon Castle Over 15.5 points
Stephon Castle Over 1.5 made threes
Stephon Castle Over 7.5 assists
Stephon Castle Over 4.5 rebounds
Spurs vs Bucks odds
Spread: Spurs -19 | Bucks +19
Moneyline: Spurs -2250 | Bucks +1106
Over/Under: Over 226 | Under 226
Spurs vs Bucks betting trend to know
The Spurs are 17-10-1 ATS against the East this season. Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Bucks.
How to watch Spurs vs Bucks
Location
Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
Date
Saturday, March 28, 2026
Tip-off
3:00 p.m. ET
TV
Prime Video
Spurs vs Bucks latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
Pages related to this topic