The Suns are -16.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
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The Utah Jazz visit Mortgage Matchup Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm in Phoenix, AZ.
The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).
The Jazz vs Suns Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 38-36 against the spread, while the Suns are 44-28 against the spread.
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Jazz vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
SpreadOver / UnderMoneylineUtah Jazz+16.5 -110O 230.5 -110+825Phoenix Suns -16.5 -110U 230.5 -110-1400
Suns vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Saturday‘s game with 79.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Jazz and Suns.
Suns vs Jazz Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Jazz Best Bets for Tonight:
The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 away games (+18.00 Units / 71% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+11.15 Units / 39% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have covered the 2Q Spread in 18 of their last 25 away games (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 34% ROI)
Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 40 games (+13.95 Units / 30% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.35 Units / 27% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+12.35 Units / 23% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.55 Units / 47% ROI)
Utah Jazz Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 38-36 (-1.6 Units / -1.97% ROI).
21-53 against the Moneyline (-4.85 Units / -6.19% ROI)
44-30 against the Over for game total points (+11 Units / 13.51% ROI)
30-44 against the Under for game total points (-18.4 Units / -22.6% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 44-28 (+13.2 Units / 16.44% ROI).
40-33 against the Moneyline (+3.75 Units / 2.94% ROI)
31-41 against the Over for game total points (-14.1 Units / -17.56% ROI)
41-31 against the Under for game total points (+6.9 Units / 8.59% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 40 games (-21.30 Units / -41% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-18.75 Units / -40% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 40 games (-16.55 Units / -35% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.49 Units / -29% ROI)
The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-14.00 Units / -27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Jazz:
The Utah Jazz have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 45 games (-18.15 Units / -35% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 40 away games (-15.55 Units / -34% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 30 games (-15.35 Units / -47% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 25 away games (-14.50 Units / -50% ROI)
The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.30 Units / -23% ROI)
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Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Jazz are 1-9 (.100) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .602
The Jazz are 3-66 (.043) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .195
The Jazz are 5-17 (.227) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .570
The Jazz are 7-29 (.194) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .416
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz
The Suns are 25-11 (.694) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Suns are 35-13 (.729) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .644
The Suns are 5-6 (.455) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .602
The Suns are 12-1 (.923) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .716
Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends
The Jazz have averaged 16.2 turnovers per game (3,851 turnovers/238 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
The Jazz have averaged 16.7 turnovers per game (1,287 turnovers/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5
The Jazz have averaged 16.5 turnovers per game (1,946 turnovers/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2
The Jazz have averaged 16.8 fast break points per game (1,246 points/74 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 20.7 points in the paint per game (4,910 points/237 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.3
The Suns have averaged 42.4 points in the paint per game (3,098 points/73 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6
The Suns are shooting 41% (312/751) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Suns have averaged 41.7 points in the paint per game (3,292 points/79 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.5
Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends
The Jazz have allowed an average of 1.43 points per shot (4,613 points/3,228 shots) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32
The Jazz have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (642 blocks/156 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Jazz have allowed 127.1 points per game (4,831 points/38 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7
The Jazz have allowed 19.8 fast break points per game (2,338 points/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.3
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,376 rebounds/73 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9
The Suns have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (297 blocks/73 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Suns have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,284 rebounds/155 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Suns have allowed 12.1 made three-pointers per game this season — 3rd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.3
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