The Indiana Pacers (16-58) host the Miami Heat (39-35) after losing 11 home games in a row. The Heat are favored by 9.5 points in the matchup, which begins at 5 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 29, 2026.
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Heat vs. Pacers Predictions for Sunday
Our computer model for this matchup expects a final tally of Heat 122, Pacers 113.
Moneyline Pick: Heat (-408)
Total Pick: Under 245.5 (computer predicts 235.3 points)
Pick ATS: Heat (-9.5)
Recent Heat vs. Pacers Matchups
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
So far this season, Miami has compiled a 43-30-1 record against the spread.
In games this season they were favored by 9.5 points or more, the Heat have a 6-1 record against the spread.
Miami’s games have hit the over in 40 out of 74 opportunities (54.1%).
This season, the Heat have won 22 out of the 36 games, or 61.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
Miami has been at least a -408 moneyline favorite seven times this season and won all of those games.
Pacers 2025-26 Betting Trends
So far this season, Indiana has compiled a 34-40-0 record against the spread.
In games they have played as at least 9.5-point underdogs this season, the Pacers are 14-9 against the spread.
The teams have combined to hit the over in 37 of Indiana’s 74 games with a set total.
The Pacers have won 13 of the 63 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (20.6%).
In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +316 or longer, Indiana has a record of 4-20 (16.7%).
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Heat vs. Pacers Injury Report
Heat
Heat:
Norman Powell: Questionable (Back)
Pacers
Pacers:
Andrew Nembhard: Questionable (Back),
Pascal Siakam: Questionable (Knee),
Johnny Furphy: Out For Season (Knee),
Ivica Zubac: Out For Season (Rib),
Tyrese Haliburton: Out For Season (Achilles),
Jarace Walker: Questionable (Concussion),
Aaron Nesmith: Questionable (Back),
Obi Toppin: Questionable (Back),
T.J. McConnell: Questionable (Hamstring)
Heat vs. Pacers Game Time and TV Channel
Game day: Sunday, March 29, 2026
Game time: 5 p.m. ET
TV channel: FDSSUN and FDSIN
Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
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